AU - Albury - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.8f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

22.3K

VIEW

Verdict

DOLLY (8) is the one to beat after an understandable 11th in a BM64 at Kembla Grange, where she faced interference in the straight and was beaten just over five lengths. Her previous win in a CL3 at this track is key, as she came from well back to beat Steve's Way. Can sit closer this time and return to winning ways. KEIKOKU (1) has consistent form, running second at Moruya and fifth at Canberra, where he was tightened near the 2 ¼f. Out in trip now looks a very good move and Loy reuniting is a positive sign. Can bounce back to his best form. CANNY HELL (4) was solid late in a BM74 at Wagga, better suited back to a track-and-distance where he has a win and a placing from three attempts. COCO DE LUXE (10) finished third to Dolly here when the race favourite before having issues at Wangaratta. Back to this scenario looks suitable. GREATHAM BOY (2) can improve on the fresh performance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Had genuine excuses in a BM64 at Kembla Grange last start, finishing 11th but beaten just over five lengths after interference and tightening in the straight. The run prior is far more relevant: she swept home from well back to win a Class 3 at this track, scoring from Steve's Way over this trip. Her prior track-and-trip win reads strongly and barrier 1 gives her the right platform. 1st Pick 8 Dolly Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Scott Spackman J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Scott Spackman	129	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Had genuine excuses in a BM64 at Kembla Grange last start, finishing 11th but beaten just over five lengths after interference and tightening in the straight. The run prior is far more relevant: she swept home from well back to win a Class 3 at this track, scoring from Steve's Way over this trip. Her prior track-and-trip win reads strongly and barrier 1 gives her the right platform.
1	Worked home evenly when fifth at Canberra last start, beaten two and a half lengths behind Action King after being tightened passing the 2 ¼f. The run prior was a sound second at Moruya on soft ground, beaten just over a length by One Destiny. He is seasoned at this distance, with one win and nine placings from 24 starts around it, and Brodie Loy has placed on him in two of three rides. Proven around this trip and has the profile to press the main hopes. 2nd Pick 1 Keikoku Jockey: Brodie Loy Trainer: Luke Pepper J: Brodie Loy T: Luke Pepper	157	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Worked home evenly when fifth at Canberra last start, beaten two and a half lengths behind Action King after being tightened passing the 2 ¼f. The run prior was a sound second at Moruya on soft ground, beaten just over a length by One Destiny. He is seasoned at this distance, with one win and nine placings from 24 starts around it, and Brodie Loy has placed on him in two of three rides. Proven around this trip and has the profile to press the main hopes.
4	Picked up nicely late when sixth in a BM74 at Wagga, beaten just over three lengths by Hellinda after knuckling on jumping. That was a much better reference than his Dubbo tenth, where he was beaten over 12 lengths and failed to come on. The return to this track and distance is a major plus, with one win and one placing from three attempts, and the apprentice claim adds further appeal. Looks a solid winning chance. 3rd Pick 4 Canny Hell Jockey: Brittany Button Trainer: Kym Davison J: Brittany Button T: Kym Davison	140	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Picked up nicely late when sixth in a BM74 at Wagga, beaten just over three lengths by Hellinda after knuckling on jumping. That was a much better reference than his Dubbo tenth, where he was beaten over 12 lengths and failed to come on. The return to this track and distance is a major plus, with one win and one placing from three attempts, and the apprentice claim adds further appeal. Looks a solid winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.