AU - Albury - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.8f

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

PARIAH FLYER (2) has returned in terrific order this campaign and is nearing another victory, only beaten a lip here last start. Gets in well again with a claimer engaged and only needs to hold her form to be there at the finish. LA STIAVA (6) return with a bang on the Acton when scoring with a fair bit in hand. Drawn sticky again but can overcome. JUNGLE LIGHTS (5) went one better here last start when scoring by a head to get off the mark. Still lightly raced and has more to offer. Can threaten. LORD OF VALOR (1) was a big improver here last start when leading pillar-to-post in testing conditions. Has been freshened with 50 days and keeps McDougall. Expect him to give another bold sight.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at this track on July 27 over 5f, in the wet, nose behind Justenuffsplash carrying 118lbs at $6. Before that 4th of 11 at this track on May 26 over 5f, slow going 1.2 len behind With Strength carrying 127lbs at $5. Key runner. 1st Pick 2 Pariah Flyer Jockey: Ella Bent Trainer: Heath Maclean J: Ella Bent T: Heath Maclean	158	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at this track on July 27 over 5f, in the wet, nose behind Justenuffsplash carrying 118lbs at $6. Before that 4th of 11 at this track on May 26 over 5f, slow going 1.2 len behind With Strength carrying 127lbs at $5. Key runner.
6	Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Canberra Acton on August 7 over 5f defeating Avalon Lady with 123lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Canberra on February 6 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Music Time carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Looks hard to beat again. 2nd Pick 6 La Stiava Jockey: Mathew Cahill Trainer: Norm Gardner J: Mathew Cahill T: Norm Gardner	147	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Canberra Acton on August 7 over 5f defeating Avalon Lady with 123lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Canberra on February 6 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Music Time carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Looks hard to beat again.
5	Third-up today. Resuming came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Narrandera on July 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Winter Hail with 126lbs at $41. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a head at this track on July 27 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Petroula carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Handy strike-rate and rates highly. 3rd Pick 5 Jungle Lights Jockey: Jake Duffy Trainer: Scott Collings J: Jake Duffy T: Scott Collings	101	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Narrandera on July 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Winter Hail with 126lbs at $41. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a head at this track on July 27 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Petroula carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Handy strike-rate and rates highly.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Across the Board

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