Florida vs Providence College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 28

The Providence Friars (4-3) take on the Florida Gators (4-2) at Jenny Craig Pavilion on November 28, 2025.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Florida vs. Providence Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, November 28, 2025
- Game time: 3 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FOX
- Location: San Diego, California
- Arena: Jenny Craig Pavilion
Florida vs. Providence Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (85.3%)
Before you decide to wager on Florida-Providence matchup (in which Florida is a 9.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 164.5 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Friday's game.
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Florida vs. Providence: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Florida has won just one game against the spread this season.
- Providence is 3-4-0 ATS this season.
- The Gators covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered 11 times in 16 opportunities at home, and they covered six times in 10 opportunities in road games.
- In 2024-25 against the spread, the Friars had a lower winning percentage at home (.438, 7-9-0 record) than on the road (.545, 6-5-0).
Florida vs. Providence: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Florida has won in two of the four contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- The Gators have a mark of 2-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -629 or better on the moneyline.
- Providence has been listed as the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and it lost both games.
- The Friars have yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +450 or longer.
- Florida has an implied victory probability of 86.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Florida vs. Providence Head-to-Head Comparison
- Florida is outscoring opponents by 13.5 points per game with a +81 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.2 points per game (80th in college basketball) and gives up 71.7 per contest (147th in college basketball).
- Florida's leading scorer, Thomas Haugh, ranks 100th in college basketball putting up 18.2 points per game.
- Providence puts up 91.7 points per game (29th in college basketball) while allowing 85.6 per contest (346th in college basketball). It has a +43 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.1 points per game.
- Jason Edwards' 19.4 points per game paces Providence and ranks 54th in the nation.
- The Gators are first in college basketball at 46.0 rebounds per game. That's 17.8 more than the 28.2 their opponents average.
- Rueben Chinyelu leads the Gators with 11.3 rebounds per game (fifth in college basketball action).
- The 38.1 rebounds per game the Friars accumulate rank 44th in the nation, 2.8 more than the 35.3 their opponents grab.
- Oswin Erhunmwunse leads the Friars with 8.1 rebounds per game (82nd in college basketball).
- Florida averages 97.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (191st in college basketball), and gives up 81.7 points per 100 possessions (42nd in college basketball).
- The Friars put up 104.3 points per 100 possessions (75th in college basketball), while giving up 97.3 points per 100 possessions (274th in college basketball).
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