Euro 2024 Turkey vs. Austria: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Turkey vs. Austria: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is rolling along, and we are into the final matches of the Round of 16. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Tuesday, July 2nd, Austria (25th in the FIFA rankings) take on Turkey (42nd).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Turkey vs. Austria: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Turkey vs. Austria Odds

  • Turkey to Win: +330
  • Austria to Win: -105
  • Draw: +220
  • Turkey to Advance: +168
  • Austria to Advance: -210
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -108
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds:-112

Turkey vs. Austria Analysis

Austria were shock winners of Group D, totaling six points to best France for the top spot. Austria got wins over Poland (3-1) and the Netherlands (3-2) but lost to France (2-0).

Going by the expected goals (xG) data from FBRef's model, things don't look as great for Austria. Overall, they scored 3.8 xG and gave up 5.3 xG. Their -1.5 xG differential is the sixth-worst among all teams in Euro 2024 through the group phase.

Turkey also recorded two wins and a loss, defeating the Czech Republic (2-1) and Georgia (3-1) but falling to Portugal (3-0).

Turkey's xG numbers are pretty solid as they've amassed 5.1 xG while giving up 4.8 xG.

Turkey vs. Austria Prediction

Opta's model favors Austria, giving them win odds of 44.7%. Turkey to win (29.8%) and a draw (25.5%) are nearly equally likely.

MasseyRatings falls right in line with those numbers, projecting Austria to win 45% of the time while handing Turkey 28% win odds.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook might be overvaluing Austria as they list the Austrians at -105 to win. The -105 moneyline implies win odds of 51.2%.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.