Euro 2024 Switzerland vs. Italy: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Switzerland vs. Italy: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is into the knockout rounds, and FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Saturday, June 29th, Italy (10th in the FIFA rankings) take on Switzerland (19th) at noon ET in the first game of the Round of 16.

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Switzerland vs. Italy: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Switzerland vs. Italy Odds

  • Switzerland to Win: +240
  • Italy to Win: +145
  • Draw: +190
  • Switzerland to Advance: +124
  • Italy to Advance: -152
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: +168
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -205

Switzerland vs. Italy Analysis

Switzerland went unbeaten in group play, besting Hungary 3-1 in its opening match before back-to-back 1-1 draws with Germany and Scotland.

Going by the expected goals (xG) data from FBRef's model, the Swiss amassed 4.0 xG in the group stage and surrendered 3.6 xG.

Italy needed a late goal against Croatia in its last game just to survive the group phase. Through three matches, they've beaten Albania (2-1), lost to Spain (1-0) and drawn with Croatia (1-1).

On xG, things don't look pretty as Italy check in with an xG differential of -0.9 thus far.

Switzerland vs. Italy Prediction

This should be a tight one.

Opta's model gives Italy a 38.4% chance to win in regulation while handing Switzerland 31.4% win odds. Opta has a draw as 30.3% likely.

MasseyRatings sees things differently, projecting the Swiss to win 37% of the time and putting Italy's win odds at 33%.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook have Italy as the slight favorite, with Italy's +145 moneyline implying win odds of 40.8%. That's higher than what either of the aforementioned models has.

Looking for more soccer betting opportunities? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out all of the soccer odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.