Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. France: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. France: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway and is starting to take shape.

On Friday, June 21st, France (second in the FIFA rankings) face off with the Netherlands (seventh).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. France: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Netherlands vs. France Odds

  • Netherlands to Win: +250
  • France to Win: +115
  • Draw: +230
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -102
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -120

Netherlands vs. France Analysis

This should be one of the better group clashes as France and the Netherlands are two of the best teams in the world, with each side littered with players who play at Europe's top clubs.

In their opening matches, France bested Austria by a 1-0 score, and the Netherlands edged Poland 2-1. On expected goals (xG), France prevailed 2.0-0.8, according to FBRef's xG model, while the Netherlands and Poland was very even (1.4-1.3 in favor of Holland).

France may be without star Kylian Mbappe (nose) due to injury. That would be a blow, but this French roster is loaded and can cope without Mbappe.

In qualifying, France won seven of eight games, with the lone exception being a draw in the final round when their qualification was already sealed. Those seven wins included a pair of triumphs -- 4-0 and 2-1 -- over the Dutch.

Netherlands won every qualifying match outside of its two with France.

Netherlands vs. France Prediction

Even with Mbappe's status up in the air, France is the favorite as Opta's model gives the French a 52.4% chance to win.

But MasseyRatings has things a lot more even, projecting France to win 39% of the time while giving the Netherlands 33% win odds.

France's +115 moneyline via the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook splits those two projections nearly right down the middle as the +115 odds imply win odds of 46.5%

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.