Duke vs Florida State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 3

ACC action on Saturday will see the the No. 6 Duke Blue Devils (12-1, 1-0 ACC) visit the Florida State Seminoles (7-7, 0-1 ACC) at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, tipping off at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Florida State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
• Game time: 3:45 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Tallahassee, Florida
• Arena: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

Duke vs. Florida State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (84.3%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Duke (-15.5) versus Florida State on Saturday. The over/under is set at 163.5 points for this game.

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Duke vs. Florida State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has compiled a 6-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• Florida State is 7-7-0 ATS this year.
• Duke covers the spread when it is a 15.5-point favorite or more 42.9% of the time. That's less often than Florida State covers as an underdog of 15.5 or more (100%).
• The Blue Devils had a worse record against the spread at home (11-6-0) than they did in road games (9-2-0) last season.
• The Seminoles' winning percentage against the spread at home last year was .625 (10-6-0). On the road, it was .364 (4-7-0).

Duke vs. Florida State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has been victorious in six of the seven contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Blue Devils have played as a favorite of -2000 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Florida State has been listed as the moneyline underdog a total of four times this season, and it has lost all of those games.
• The Seminoles have played as a moneyline underdog of +980 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Duke has an implied victory probability of 95.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Duke vs. Florida State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke's +301 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 23.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 87 points per game (41st in college basketball) while allowing 63.8 per outing (19th in college basketball).
• Cameron Boozer's team-leading 23.5 points per game ranks first in the country.
• Florida State puts up 83.6 points per game (77th in college basketball) while giving up 78.4 per outing (303rd in college basketball). It has a +74 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 5.2 points per game.
• Robert McCray's 13.4 points per game paces Florida State and ranks 481st in the nation.
• The Blue Devils win the rebound battle by an average of 10.4 boards. They are recording 39.3 rebounds per game (13th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28.9 per outing.
• Boozer's 10.2 rebounds per game lead the Blue Devils and rank 13th in college basketball action.
• The Seminoles pull down 34.7 rebounds per game (111th in college basketball) while conceding 36.7 per contest to opponents. They are outrebounded by two boards per game.
• Alex Steen leads the Seminoles with 6.4 rebounds per game (263rd in college basketball).
• Duke's 108 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 32nd in college basketball, and the 79.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank sixth in college basketball.
• The Seminoles score 95.6 points per 100 possessions (226th in college basketball), while conceding 89.5 points per 100 possessions (124th in college basketball).

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