Duke vs Florida State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - February 17

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The Florida State Seminoles (13-11, 7-6 ACC) will host the Duke Blue Devils (19-5, 10-3 ACC) after losing three straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Florida State Game Info and Odds

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (64.4%)

See the betting insights and trends below before placing a wager on Saturday's Duke-Florida State spread (Duke -5.5) or total (152.5 points).

Duke is 13-11-0 ATS this season.
Florida State has compiled a 12-12-0 record against the spread this year.
Duke (10-9) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 5.5 points or more this season (52.6%) than Florida State (3-3) does as a 5.5+-point underdog (50%).
The Blue Devils have done a better job covering the spread at home (9-6-0) than they have in road affairs (2-5-0).
In 2023-24 against the spread, the Seminoles have a lower winning percentage at home (.385, 5-8-0 record) than away (.625, 5-3-0).
Duke has covered the spread six times in 13 conference games.
Florida State is 8-5-0 against the spread in ACC games this season.

Duke has won in 16, or 80%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
The Blue Devils have a mark of 13-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -230 or better on the moneyline.
Florida State has gone 5-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
The Seminoles have a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +188 or longer.
Duke has an implied victory probability of 69.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Duke has a +308 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.8 points per game. It is putting up 80.5 points per game to rank 41st in college basketball and is allowing 67.7 per contest to rank 72nd in college basketball.
Kyle Filipowski leads Duke, scoring 17.4 points per game (104th in college basketball).
Florida State is outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game, with a +44 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.5 points per game (105th in college basketball) and gives up 74.7 per outing (263rd in college basketball).
Florida State's leading scorer, Jamir Watkins, is 333rd in the nation, putting up 14.5 points per game.
The Blue Devils rank 139th in the country at 36.3 rebounds per game. That's 4.1 more than the 32.2 their opponents average.
Filipowski averages 8.3 rebounds per game (ranking 75th in college basketball) to lead the Blue Devils.
The 34.3 rebounds per game the Seminoles accumulate rank 262nd in the nation, 2.4 fewer than the 36.7 their opponents grab.
Watkins paces the team with 5.8 rebounds per game (386th in college basketball).
Duke's 105.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in college basketball, and the 88.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 91st in college basketball.
The Seminoles average 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (198th in college basketball), and allow 91.9 points per 100 possessions (170th in college basketball).

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