Champions League Betting Picks for Wednesday 11/29/23: Real Madrid Look to Remain Perfect
Wednesday gives us more Champions League action, so let's see where we should place our money on this slate.
When looking at the Champions League soccer odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, which bets make the most sense for this match day?
Champions League Betting: Wednesday 11/29/23
Napoli at Real Madrid (3 PM ET )
Real Madrid Moneyline (-115)
Perhaps the biggest match on Wednesday is the one that showcases Real Madrid and Napoli. These are two huge clubs that will want to set themselves up nicely for the knockout stages.
Real Madrid have won every group game so far and have already made it through to the next round. They technically could still finish behind Napoli if they don't pick up any points in the final two matches.
Napoli ran away with Serie A last season. This season, they are in fourth place and have just fired Rudi Garcia after their somewhat disappointing start to the season. Garcia had replaced Luciano Spalletti after the Scudetto-winning Spalletti took the Italian national team job in the summer.
Sitting atop La Liga, Real Madrid have lost just one match all season. They have an interesting balance in their team that is now built around Jude Bellingham, who leads La Liga in goals with 11.
Real Madrid won 3-2 away against Napoli earlier in this Champions League campaign. They should be able to win at home in this game. The line seems to bake in some risk that Madrid will rotate their squad, but it's pretty likely that they will go all out for the win on Wednesday in an effort to finish atop the group.
Union Berlin at Braga (3PM ET)
Braga Moneyline (+110)
In the same group, Braga are at home against Union Berlin. Once again, the home team is a short favorite in a spot where they should win.
Braga aren't some amazing team. Being the fourth-best team in Portugal isn't usually something to write home about. They have created the second-most expected goals (xG) -- per FBRef -- in the Primera Liga and have the league's leading scorer in Simon Banza.
Right now, it doesn't take an amazing team to beat Union Berlin. Union are currently 17th in the Bundesliga. They haven't won a game in any competition since August 26th and have one draw and three losses in the Champions League so far.
Union's meteoric rise from the second tier of German soccer to being in the Champions League seems to be crashing to a halt. They are -4.0 in xG differential in the Bundesliga this season. They made a manager change two weeks ago.
There is every incentive for Braga to win this game and set up a potential showdown with Napoli on the final match day to qualify for the knockout round.
Lautaro Martinez to Score (+200): Martinez leads Serie A in goals with 13 in 13 matches. No other play is even in double digits.
Inter is away against Benfica -- not an easy matchup. It didn't hurt them the last time these two teams matched up. Inter had 3.8 xG in that match. Now, that one was at home, but we're getting such good odds on one of Europe's best strikers that I don't mind betting on Martinez to score even on an underdog.
Leroy Sane to Assist (+125): Bayern Munich are a massive -490 favorites on this slate, so trying to get some exposure to them for a prop bet makes sense.
Leroy Sane leads the Bundesliga in both assists (six) and expected assists (6.3). If Bayern are going to score multiple goals in this game, it wouldn't be too surprising to see Sane set up at least one of them.
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