Bucks vs. Pacers: Betting Picks and Prediction for Game 6

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
Bucks vs. Pacers: Betting Picks and Prediction for Game 6

After winning three consecutive games in the series, the Indiana Pacers had a chance to close their series against the Milwaukee Bucks in five games. However, the Bucks' Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis had other plans as both players recorded 29 points on the way to Milwaukee's 115-92 Game 5 win.

The Bucks are on the brink of elimination once again for tonight's Game 6. Indiana will face a weakened roster as Milwaukee's Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard are listed as doubtful. The Pacers lost Game 5 as a 5.5-point underdog. Will the Bucks pull off another upset and take this to Game 7?

Let's check out the latest NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook and circle the best value for this matchup.

All NBA odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

NBA Playoffs Betting

Bucks-Pacers Betting Odds

Date and Time: Thursday, May 2nd at 6:30 p.m. ET

Spread: Pacers -5.5 (-112)

Total: 217


  • Bucks: +184
  • Pacers: -220

Bucks vs. Pacers Advanced Stats Breakdown

nERD via numberFire. Adjusted offensive/defensive ratings and pace via DunksAndThrees.

  • Bucks:
    • nERD: 60.5 (8th)
    • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 117.6 (6th)
    • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 115.3 (19th)
    • Pace: 100.4 (7th)
    • Against-the-Spread Record: 35-47
  • Pacers:
    • nERD: 56.3 (14th)
    • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 120.1 (2nd)
    • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 117.9 (24th)
    • Pace: 102.1 (2nd)
    • Against-the-Spread Record: 44-35-3

Bucks vs. Pacers Best Bet

Pacers Team Total Over 111.5 (-108)

As previously mentioned, Middleton and Portis played major roles to keep the Bucks alive in Game 5. How sustainable is this, though? Middleton has been excellent in the playoffs with 26.8 points per game (PPG), but Portis is averaging only 15.8 PPG in the postseason.

Indiana's main concern will likely be getting the offense going. When the Pacers have lost in this series, they are averaging 93.0 PPG. In wins, Indiana is racking up 124.0 PPG. This one is simple: the Pacers must find ways to score.

Milwaukee did an excellent job of slowing the pace on Tuesday. Indiana had only 81 field goal attempts compared to their season average of 92.6 (most in the league). The Pacers have to speed this game up as they are totaling 94.7 shots per game in their wins.

Due to the injuries and Indiana hosting this matchup, I like the Pacers to close this series. The moneyline for Indiana (-220) has little intrigue, and the Pacers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) in this series. Taking Indiana to go over 111.5 points could yield success. The -108 odds are solid, and their best chance of winning likely lies in the scoring department.

I expect the Pacers to get plenty of three-point shots up tonight. In wins, they are taking 42.7 three-point attempts in this series. When Indiana loses in this series, they are totaling 38.0 shots from beyond the arc. The Bucks' perimeter defense is not elite by any stretch, for they allow the 13th-most three-point attempts each contest.

The Pacers totaled the most points in the paint during the regular season while Milwaukee's defense gave up the 12th-most points in the paint. Giannis' absence only makes the Bucks' interior defense even more concerning.

Indiana had their preferred style of play with a quick pace and plenty of scoring in both home games. I'm looking for this trend to continue with the Pacers going over their scoring total.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.