Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for NLDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 10:12 p.m.

In MLB action on Sunday, the Milwaukee Brewers take on the San Diego Padres for Game 1 of the NLDS.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Brewers vs Padres Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) vs. San Diego Padres (91-71)
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 4 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Family Field -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1

Brewers vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIL: (-200) | SD: (+180)
• Spread: MIL: -1.5 (+105) | SD: +1.5 (-126)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-144) | Under: (+118)

Brewers vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Logan Henderson (Brewers) - 11-3, 2.47 ERA vs Michael King (Padres) - 12-10, 3.21 ERA

The Brewers will look to Logan Henderson (11-3, 2.47 ERA) versus the Padres and Michael King (12-10, 3.21 ERA). Henderson and his team are 10-8-0 ATS this season when he starts. Henderson's team has a record of 12-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Padres have a 13-20-0 record against the spread in King's starts. The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of King's starts this season, and they went 4-7 in those matchups.

Brewers vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Brewers win (57.7%)

Brewers vs Padres Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Brewers vs. Padres reveal Milwaukee as the favorite (-200) and San Diego as the underdog (+180) on the road.

Brewers vs Padres Spread

• The Padres are at the Brewers, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Padres are +105 to cover the spread, and the Brewers are -126.

Brewers vs Padres Over/Under

• Brewers versus Padres, on Oct. 4, has an over/under of 6.5, with the over being -144 and the under +118.

Bet on Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres on FanDuel today!

Brewers vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Brewers have come away with 82 wins in the 125 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Milwaukee has come away with a win 18 times in 23 chances when named as a favorite of at least -200 on the moneyline.
• The Brewers and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of their 161 opportunities.
• The Brewers have posted a record of 84-77-0 against the spread this season.
• The Padres have won 49.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (38-39).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +180 or longer, San Diego has gone 2-4 (33.3%).
• The Padres have played in 164 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-83-3).
• The Padres have gone 96-68-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Player Leaders

• Brice Turang leads Milwaukee in slugging percentage (.452) thanks to 61 extra-base hits. He has a .270 batting average and an on-base percentage of .367.
• Among all qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 41st, his on-base percentage ranks 19th, and he is 47th in slugging.
• Turang has recorded a base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .310 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and eight RBIs.
• William Contreras is hitting .270 with 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 61 walks. He's slugging .417 with an on-base percentage of .341.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he is 41st in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 77th in slugging percentage.
• Contreras enters this game looking to extend his two-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two walks and six RBIs.
• Jackson Chourio leads Milwaukee with 152 hits. He is batting .291 this season and 52 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
• Chourio has recorded a hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .571 with a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Jake Bauers has 127 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .389.

Padres Player Leaders

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has racked up a slugging percentage of .470, a team-best for the Padres. He's batting .289 with an on-base percentage of .358.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average is 13th, his on-base percentage ranks 36th, and he is 34th in slugging.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .254 with 26 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 41 walks. He's slugging .440 with an on-base percentage of .303.
• He is currently 74th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 56th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters.
• Manny Machado is hitting .217 with 22 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts has 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 77 walks while batting .231.

Brewers vs Padres Head to Head

• 8/12/2026: 4-3 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/11/2026: 11-2 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/10/2026: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 5/14/2026: 7-1 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 5/13/2026: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 5/12/2026: 6-4 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 9/24/2025: 3-1 MIL (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/23/2025: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/22/2025: 5-4 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 6/8/2025: 1-0 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)

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