Best MLB Daily Dinger Pick June 12, 2026: Mookie Betts Home Run Prop Bet Prediction

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Mookie Betts (+520): Taking on a struggling lefty and has great batted-ball numbers in the split

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick Today for FanDuel

Mookie Betts to Hit a Home Run (+520)

Dodgers at White Sox, 7:41 p.m. ET

There are a few reasons to be into Mookie Betts today.

The biggest is his matchup with Anthony Kay. The Chicago White Sox left-hander is having a rough season in his return to The Show. Although Kay's results lately have improved, his under-the-hood numbers are ugly, including a 16.5% strikeout rate and 5.86 expected ERA. He's having a particularly difficult time against right-handed hitters, surrendering a .391 wOBA and 1.79 bombs per nine innings in the split.

Mookie's batted-ball numbers against southpaws are elite as he's got a 43.8% hard-hit rate and 62.5% fly-ball rate in the split.

The good matchups should keep coming once Kay is out of the game as Chicago sits eighth-worst in reliever xFIP.

For the cherry on top, the wind is blowing out to left in Chicago.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.