Best Home Run Bet for Today: FanDuel Daily Dinger Pick for Thursday, June 25, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Alec Burleson (+500)

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Best Home Run Bet Today, Daily Dinger

Alec Burleson to Hit a Home Run (+500)

Diamondbacks at Cardinals, 7:46 p.m. ET

Zac Gallen has been a good pitcher for a while, but the wheels have come off this season.

Gallen is struggling mightily, producing a 4.82 SIERA and 14.3% strikeout rate. Not only is he not missing many bats, when hitters make contact, it's loud as Gallen is letting up a 47.3% hard-hit rate. Lefty bats have hammered him to the tune of a .399 wOBA and 52.3% hard-hit rate.

This sets up really nicely for Alec Burleson.

Burleson is having a big year, and he's done the bulk of his damage against right-handed hurlers, mashing his way to a .432 wOBA and 40.9% hard-hit rate in the split. He's hit 13 homers this year, 12 of which have come against righties.

In a great matchup and in his preferred split, Burleson is a quality HR pick tonight.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.