NCAAB

Auburn vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SEC Tournament

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Data Skrive
Auburn vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SEC Tournament

The No. 4 seed Auburn Tigers (25-7, 13-5 SEC) are taking on the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12, 8-10 SEC) in the SEC tournament on Saturday at Bridgestone Arena, at 1:00 PM ET airing on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 16, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Auburn win (69.9%)

Before you place a wager on Auburn-Mississippi State contest (in which Auburn is a 7.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 143.5 points), below are a few betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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Auburn vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Auburn has covered 20 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
  • Mississippi State has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
  • As a 7.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Mississippi State is 1-2 against the spread compared to the 16-7 ATS record Auburn puts up as a 7.5-point favorite.
  • In home games, the Tigers sport a better record against the spread (10-6-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (5-5-0).
  • This season, the Bulldogs are 6-9-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). Away, they are 2-8-0 ATS (.200).
  • Against the spread, in conference play, Auburn is 13-6-0 this season.
  • Mississippi State is 8-12-0 against the spread in SEC action this season.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Auburn has won in 24, or 82.8%, of the 29 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Tigers have been victorious 18 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -335 or better on the moneyline.
  • Mississippi State has been the moneyline underdog 12 total times this season. Mississippi State has finished 6-6 in those games.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +265 or longer, the Bulldogs have a 2-2 record (winning 50% of their games).
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Auburn has a 77% chance of pulling out a win.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Auburn averages 83.6 points per game (13th in college basketball) while allowing 68.1 per outing (73rd in college basketball). It has a +494 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 15.5 points per game.
  • Auburn's leading scorer, Johni Broome, is 170th in the country averaging 16.3 points per game.
  • Mississippi State is outscoring opponents by 6.1 points per game, with a +201 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75 points per game (133rd in college basketball) and allows 68.9 per outing (87th in college basketball).
  • Mississippi State's leading scorer, Josh Hubbard, ranks 121st in the nation, scoring 17.1 points per game.
  • The Tigers win the rebound battle by 3.8 boards on average. They record 38.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 52nd in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 34.4 per contest.
  • Broome tops the team with 8.5 rebounds per game (58th in college basketball play).
  • The Bulldogs win the rebound battle by 5.7 boards on average. They collect 38.3 rebounds per game, 49th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 32.6.
  • Cameron Matthews' 6.9 rebounds per game lead the Bulldogs and rank 191st in the nation.
  • Auburn scores 104.5 points per 100 possessions (17th in college basketball), while giving up 85.2 points per 100 possessions (16th in college basketball).
  • The Bulldogs rank 157th in college basketball averaging 96 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 53rd, allowing 88.2 points per 100 possessions.

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