3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday 11/30/23

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday 11/30/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Gordon Hayward Over 17.5 Pts + Reb (-111)

Gordon Hayward has had an up-and-down season for the Charlotte Hornets, but I think tonight's game against the Brooklyn Nets will afford him a bounce-back opportunity.

Hayward is averaging 18.6 combined points and rebounds (PR) this season. He's gone missing on the stat sheet over his last few games, namely because four of his last six games have ended in field-goal percentages that were sub-30%.

He's a career 45.4% shooter and clocked out at 47.5% last season, so I think he's due for some regression.

LaMelo Ball is out for Charlotte, which should create more scoring looks for Hayward. Ball leads the team in minutes and field-goal attempts (FGA). Hayward averaged 19.8 PR in 26 games without Ball last season.

Brandon Miller (ankle) is questionable tonight, and though we can't rely on his absence, it wouldn't hurt Hayward's volume.

Either way, I think Hayward can reach his season PR average tonight. The Nets give up the 12th-most points and 14th-most rebounds to forwards per 26 minutes. They also sacrifice the third-most three-point attempts (3PA) per game, which could do wonders for this prop.

Hayward should see above-average 3PA tonight, which not only would raise his points volume but could get him more involved on offense overall.

When adjusted for games and minutes played, we can see that Hayward scores the fourth-highest percentage of points off of turnovers (25.6%). The Nets give up the seventh-most points off turnovers to forwards per 36 minutes.

Hayward has the highest rebound chance percentage among Charlotte players (minimum of seven games played), but he ranks fifth in deferred rebounds per game.

Caris LeVert Over 11.5 Points (+104)

The Cleveland Cavaliers are a depth-heavy team. There are six players on the Cavs roster that average 13.5 points or more -- even with Donovan Mitchell putting up 21.2 FGA per game (third-most in NBA). The wealth is dolled out on this team despite Mitchell's dominance, and I think Caris LeVert is underrated in tonight's matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers.

LeVert is averaging 15.5 points per game and has cleared this prop in nine out of 15 games.

The Trail Blazers allow the fourth-most points in the paint per game. LeVert scores 43.8% of his points from this area.

LeVert went up against Portland earlier this season and put up 17 points. He shot 1-7 from behind the arc (14.3 3P%) in this game, so it's encouraging that he was able to greatly surpass 12 points despite the poor shooting from downtown.

Cleveland has a 115.5 implied team total against Portland. In games where the Cavs have scored 116-plus points, LeVert is averaging 19.0 points. Getting the over here at plus money feels like a treat.

Jalen Brunson Under 34.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-115)

Jalen Brunson is off to another great season -- he's probably one of the more overlooked star guards in the league.

He's averaging 32.8 combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) this season, but I don't think tonight's game against the Detroit Pistons will create enough opportunity for Brunson to have an above-average PRA outing.

The New York Knicks are favored by a slate-high 14.5 points tonight. numberFire's game projections seem to think that the market is lowballing this spread -- they have the Knicks winning this one by 16.15 points.

This matchup has blowout potential written all over it, which could force an early exit for Knicks starters, including Brunson.

In seven games this season where the Knicks have won by 14 or more points (yes, seven out of NY's 10 wins have been 14-plus point victories), Brunson is averaging only 29.7 PRA.

This is enough to make me side with an average Brunson PRA performance, but it doesn't hurt to know that the Pistons give up the eighth-fewest rebounds and 13th-fewest assists to guards per 36 minutes.

In four games against Detroit last season, Brunson averaged 29.3 PRA despite averaging 33.7 PRA this season. The under is the side to be on tonight.

Looking for the latest NBA odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NBA betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.