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3 Home Run Prop Bets to Target for Dinger Tuesday 4/30/24

Tom Vecchio
Tom Vecchio@Tom_Vecchio1

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Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel.

Here, we're going to focus on the former, specifically home run props.

Utilizing our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB home run props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Tuesday's during the MLB season mean one thing -- Dinger Tuesday! Place a pre-live, straight "To Hit a Home Run" wager on any MLB game happening on April 30th. You’ll get Bonus Bets for each home run BOTH TEAMS hit in the game! See the promotions page for more information.

Home Run Props

Jake Cronenworth To Hit a Home Run (+600)

The San Diego Padres have a 4.00 implied run total tonight and a matchup worth targeting.

They are at home to take on the Cincinnati Reds, who will have Nick Martinez on the bump tonight. This season, Martinez has allowed a .481 SLG, .357 wOBA, 5.10 xFIP, 1.35 HR/9, and 47.8% fly-ball rate versus left-handed hitters.

This brings me to Jake Cronenworth, who is crushing righties this season with a 164 wRC+, .404 wOBA, .238 ISO, 34.3% fly-ball rate, and 32.9% hard-contact rate. We've seen all four of his homers this season come via right-handed pitchers, making this the split to target.

It's a great matchup all around so I'll add Croneworth To Record an RBI (+155), too.

Eduardo Julien To Hit a Home Run (+520)

With some serious pop, Edouard Julien can put one over the fence tonight for the Minnesota Twins.

The Twins have a 4.72 implied run total against Mike Soroka, who simply doesn't have it all together on the mound for the Chicago White Sox.

This season, Soroka has allowed a .50 SLG, .402 wOBA, 6.76 xFIP, 1.88 HR/9, and 37.3% fly-ball rate versus left-handed hitters. It's been a rough few years for Soroka and the 2024 season isn't off to a good start.

We turn to Julien, who has a whopping .301 ISO, 144 wRC+, 51.0% fly-ball rate, and 32.7% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers. That is a ton of power and will always put him in a spot for a homer versus righties, so I'll add Julien To Record an RBI (+175), too.

Willy Adames To Hit a Home Run (+420)

Finally, we look to Willy Adames of the Milwaukee Brewers for a homer.

A strong matchup against Tyler Alexander puts a few of the Brewers' hitters in a good spot for some offense.

This year, Alexander has allowed a .537 SLG, .399 wOBA, 5.00 xFIP, 1.72 HR/9, 49.1% fly-ball rate, and 33.9% hard-contact rate versus right-handed hitters. That's a rough set of stats to see as a pitcher but very friendly when we're here to talk about the long ball.

Last season, Adames was solid versus lefties with a 109 wRC+, .335 wOBA, .179 ISO, 44.2% fly-ball rate, and 41.9% hard-contact rate. Hitting the 40-40 mark is great to see and puts Adames in a fantastic spot tonight.


Dinger Tuesday is back! Place a pre-live, straight "To Hit a Home Run" wager on any MLB game happening on April 30th. You’ll get Bonus Bets for each home run BOTH TEAMS hit in the game! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking for more MLB betting opportunities? Check out all of the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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