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7:04 AM

NZH - Cambridge - Race 7

Harness
7 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
34.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HILLBILLY BLUES (2) showed improvement when fourth in the Lyell Creek at Alexandra Park last start and has won two of three third up attempts so should be reaching peak fitness. Ended last campaign with a string of wins including the Flying Stakes at this circuit, which took his strike rate here to 50 per cent. Won his only try at this distance and should get his chance from the ace draw. The winning run of GUS (7) came to an end in the G1 Hammerhead Mile in Sydney last start but he was far from disgraced when fourth to glamour mare Keayang Zahara. The last time he crossed the Tasman he won the Dominion Trot/NZ FFA double so must rate very highly. OSCAR BONAVENA (6) hasn't won for a while but beat Hillbilly Blues home when runner-up in the Lyell Creek last start. YA RITE DARL (5) improved for third in that race and goes well third-up so could progress further.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Hillbilly Blues silk

Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1m at Alexandra Park beaten 4 m by Meant To Be (2:43.90) on March 20 at $2.30. Before that, 7th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park beaten 13 m by Belle Neige (2:03.10) on March 13 at $2.90. Capable of testing this line-up.

1st Pick
2

Hillbilly Blues

Jockey: Tony Herlihy

Trainer: Michelle Wallis & Bernie Hackett

J: Tony Herlihy

T: Michelle Wallis & Bernie Hackett

77---50%1/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1m at Alexandra Park beaten 4 m by Meant To Be (2:43.90) on March 20 at $2.30. Before that, 7th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park beaten 13 m by Belle Neige (2:03.10) on March 13 at $2.90. Capable of testing this line-up.

7
Gus silk

Last start was well beaten into fourth after being driven well back, behind Keayang Zahara at Menangle over 1m in a G1 No NR on March 14 at $9. Raced better the start before that where he won by 2.5 m as favourite (Sr4) at Albion Park (2:35.00) beating Golden Sunset in No NR on February 28 at $1.30. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

2nd Pick
7

Gus

Jockey: Pete Mcmullen

Trainer: Chantal Turpin

J: Pete Mcmullen

T: Chantal Turpin

75---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fourth after being driven well back, behind Keayang Zahara at Menangle over 1m in a G1 No NR on March 14 at $9. Raced better the start before that where he won by 2.5 m as favourite (Sr4) at Albion Park (2:35.00) beating Golden Sunset in No NR on February 28 at $1.30. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

6
Oscar Bonavena silk

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Belle Neige at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹/16m on March 13 at $8. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.1 m finishing second behind Meant To Be at Alexandra Park over 1m on March 20 at $8.10. Looks the testing material.

3rd Pick
6

Oscar Bonavena

Jockey: Mark Purdon

Trainer: M Purdon

J: Mark Purdon

T: M Purdon

75---27%11/4

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Belle Neige at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹/16m on March 13 at $8. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.1 m finishing second behind Meant To Be at Alexandra Park over 1m on March 20 at $8.10. Looks the testing material.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.