NZ - Taupo - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

58.3K

VIEW

Verdict

KIWI SKYHAWK (12) has been running on strongly in each of his 4 runs back from a spell. He gets a nice swing in his draw here, and if he can settle a touch closer to the pace early on, then he can have the last say. On top. WHAT YOU WISH FOR (6) will find this assignment easier than any of his 4 starts this season. He cops a wide gate, but will appreciate dropping back from 1 7/16m to 1 ¼m, and he is set to put his best hoof forward. Each way. SASSY LASS (8) just battled in the Waikato Cup last start, and will find this company more to her liking. She has had a busy season, but is worth one more chance here. Include in all top 4 combos. AGERA (1) was chasing 4 wins on the bounce when finishing sixth in the G1 Mufhasa Classic at Trentham just over 3 weeks ago. He has won twice over this longer trip, and despite a wide gate, with top weight, he can get the job done. HABANA (2) ran a much better race when fifth last start, he has won his only start here, and can spice up combinations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 14 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Livid Sky with 119lbs at $3.40. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1 5/16m, slow going 4 len behind Solidify carrying 131lbs at $5. Doesn't need to improve that much. 1st Pick 12 Kiwi Skyhawk Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	105	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 14 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Livid Sky with 119lbs at $3.40. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1 5/16m, slow going 4 len behind Solidify carrying 131lbs at $5. Doesn't need to improve that much.
6	Last start 8th of 14 at Trentham in the G3 Manawatu Cup on December 20 over 1 7/16m, slow going 7 len behind Sagunto carrying 120lbs at $6.10. The start before that 6th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Final Return carrying 117lbs at $6.80. Not a great draw again but able to play a big role. 2nd Pick 6 What You Wish For Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Wiremu Pinn T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	168	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 8th of 14 at Trentham in the G3 Manawatu Cup on December 20 over 1 7/16m, slow going 7 len behind Sagunto carrying 120lbs at $6.10. The start before that 6th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Final Return carrying 117lbs at $6.80. Not a great draw again but able to play a big role.
8	Last start 11th of 14 at Te Rapa in the G3 Waikato Cup on December 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 9 len behind Sharp 'N' Smart carrying 117lbs at $6.50. The run before that 8th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Final Return with 117lbs at $8.70. Best form is good enough so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Sassy Lass Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	95	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 11th of 14 at Te Rapa in the G3 Waikato Cup on December 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 9 len behind Sharp 'N' Smart carrying 117lbs at $6.50. The run before that 8th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Final Return with 117lbs at $8.70. Best form is good enough so worth another chance.

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