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6:07 AM

AU - Oakbank - Race 8

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5.5f
Unknown
Turf
GOOD 4
97.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PRAIRIE FLOWER (1) hasn't won for a long time but she's a quality mare with a sharp turn of foot when things fall her way. She's been finding trouble but still showing she's going well. Kept fresh with a trial and gets Pannell for the first time, which could spark a change of luck. MIC DROP (9) keeps stepping up and is going too well to ignore. She was only run down late in the Manihi by a hot favourite and should burn across from the wide alley to give them something to catch. GREAT MAXIMUS (4) needs a smart steer from the car-park draw but he has talent and drops back to a sprinting trip off a five-week freshen. Don't dismiss him. THUNDER SHOC (5) couldn't keep up in the Matrice Stakes last week but backs up quickly and is worth forgiving on her earlier work. WINNING REVOLUTION (10) finished full of running fresh and can cause trouble late if they overdo it in front.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Prairie Flower silk

Most recently got back early 6th of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Manihi on March 9 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Celerity with 128lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Durbridge on January 31 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sghirripa with 125lbs at $3. Talented mare on her day and gets the chance to put it all together.

1st Pick
1

Prairie Flower

Jockey: Todd Pannell

Trainer: Will Clarken

J: Todd Pannell

T: Will Clarken

165---10%9/1

Analysis

Most recently got back early 6th of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Manihi on March 9 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Celerity with 128lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Durbridge on January 31 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sghirripa with 125lbs at $3. Talented mare on her day and gets the chance to put it all together.

9
Mic Drop silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Manihi on March 9 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Celerity with 119lbs at $7. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at Morphettville Bm78 February 7 over 5 ½f defeating Dancing Storm carrying 120lbs at $2.40. Went close last time. Keeps raising the bar, so deserves her chance again.

2nd Pick
9

Mic Drop

Jockey: Kayla Crowther

Trainer: Will Clarken

J: Kayla Crowther

T: Will Clarken

188---29%5/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Manihi on March 9 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Celerity with 119lbs at $7. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at Morphettville Bm78 February 7 over 5 ½f defeating Dancing Storm carrying 120lbs at $2.40. Went close last time. Keeps raising the bar, so deserves her chance again.

4
Great Maximus silk

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Flemington Bm78 on February 28 over 7f, 5 len behind Watersports carrying 131lbs at $4. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Flemington Bm90 on February 14 over 6f, 2 len behind Ndola carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Has the talent to overcome the wide draw.

3rd Pick
4

Great Maximus

Jockey: Jake Toeroek

Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

J: Jake Toeroek

T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

148---20%4/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Flemington Bm78 on February 28 over 7f, 5 len behind Watersports carrying 131lbs at $4. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Flemington Bm90 on February 14 over 6f, 2 len behind Ndola carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Has the talent to overcome the wide draw.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.