AU - Yarra Valley - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

QUEENSBURY (2) is worth another try. Was a fresh-up winner when well fancied last time but dropped right out. Pulled up lame in hind quarters and has since trialled and is back on track. Well placed here on his best form and gets a chance to atone. THINKING SENSATION (4) is going well and got off the mark with an all the way win last time. Low draw and expected to take catching again. SUNSET BEAUTY (9) has a strong second-up record so don't let her under the guard. SORRY SAILOR (3) brought up his third career win two back but missed the frame latest when sixth over 1 ¹/16m at Geelong. Has ability and can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Geelong 0 - 62 on November 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Vizie with 130lbs at $7.50. Last start ran last of 9 at Pakenham Cl1 on November 28 over 7f, slow going 36 len behind Flag Flyer with 129lbs at $2.80. Pulled up lame after last run so worth another chance. 1st Pick 2 Queensbury Jockey: Jarrod Fry Trainer: John Moloney J: Jarrod Fry T: John Moloney	113	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Geelong 0 - 62 on November 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Vizie with 130lbs at $7.50. Last start ran last of 9 at Pakenham Cl1 on November 28 over 7f, slow going 36 len behind Flag Flyer with 129lbs at $2.80. Pulled up lame after last run so worth another chance.
4	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 2 len at Donald 4yo+ Mdn-Sw December 2 over 6 ¾f defeating Moral Turpitude with 131lbs at $1.60. The start before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 11 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Eleanor Dumont carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Off the mark with an all the way win latest and looks a leading player again. 2nd Pick 4 Thinking Sensation Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Eoin Walsh T: Matt Cumani	127	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 2 len at Donald 4yo+ Mdn-Sw December 2 over 6 ¾f defeating Moral Turpitude with 131lbs at $1.60. The start before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 11 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Eleanor Dumont carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Off the mark with an all the way win latest and looks a leading player again.
1	Second-up. First-up after four months got back early 7th of 10 at Pakenham Bm62 on November 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Delicate Lady with 130lbs at $20. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 22 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Madam Excels carrying 130lbs at $15. Not far away fresh and capable of a much better performance. 3rd Pick 1 Forest Jim Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Cliff Brown J: Non Runner T: Cliff Brown	78	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months got back early 7th of 10 at Pakenham Bm62 on November 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Delicate Lady with 130lbs at $20. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 22 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Madam Excels carrying 130lbs at $15. Not far away fresh and capable of a much better performance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.