AU - Yarra Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

9.8f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

14.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LAYBUY (7) won two runs ago when resuming but couldn't repeat the dose last time when fourth over 1 ³/16m at Tatura. Capable of a quick return to form third-up with a run at this trip under the belt. BOOKMAN (3) bounced back last start and got the job done by 4 lengths over 1 m at Healesville. This is a step up and meets some better types this time but will have gained some confidence from that win. DUSTY'S DEEL (6) showed good early muster and fought on to finish second last start over 1 ?m at Wycheproof. Likely improver with strong prospects. JAYZEAL (5) turned in a better run last start, beaten 1.5 lengths into fourth over 1m at Tatura. Best efforts measure up so worth another chance. CRYPTIC CLUE (4) found winning form early in the prep in this grade and this is a drop back in class on last start, so no reason he can't be a major player.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming won by 1.0 len at Geelong Bm56 November 8 over 1 ¹/16m on a heavy track defeating Barrington Manor carrying 118lbs at $9. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Tatura 0 - 56 on November 22 over 1 ³/16m, 1.3 len behind Danzagrunt carrying 125lbs at $11. Looks well in here and should be nearing peak fitness. 1st Pick 7 Laybuy Jockey: Caitlin Hollowood Trainer: Kelvin Bourke J: Caitlin Hollowood T: Kelvin Bourke	147	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming won by 1.0 len at Geelong Bm56 November 8 over 1 ¹/16m on a heavy track defeating Barrington Manor carrying 118lbs at $9. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Tatura 0 - 56 on November 22 over 1 ³/16m, 1.3 len behind Danzagrunt carrying 125lbs at $11. Looks well in here and should be nearing peak fitness.
3	Most recently won by 4 len at Healesville Pic-Trpy November 22 over 1 m defeating Tussock carrying 153lbs at $2.70. The run before that 5th of 10 at Traralgon 0 - 56 on November 1 over 1 ³/16m, 6 len behind Cudmore Street carrying 132lbs at $3.90. Ready to take on this company. 2nd Pick 3 Bookman Jockey: Logan Mcneil Trainer: David Noonan J: Logan Mcneil T: David Noonan	128	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently won by 4 len at Healesville Pic-Trpy November 22 over 1 m defeating Tussock carrying 153lbs at $2.70. The run before that 5th of 10 at Traralgon 0 - 56 on November 1 over 1 ³/16m, 6 len behind Cudmore Street carrying 132lbs at $3.90. Ready to take on this company.
6	Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Wycheproof Bm52 on November 1 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Greatestofease carrying 133lbs at $4.80. The run before that led to the turn then faded 8th of 11 at Bendigo 0 - 56 on October 18 over 1m, 10 len behind Switch Hit with 131lbs at $4.40. In form and will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 6 Dusty's Deel Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Jess Gleeson J: Lachlan King T: Jess Gleeson	91	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Wycheproof Bm52 on November 1 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Greatestofease carrying 133lbs at $4.80. The run before that led to the turn then faded 8th of 11 at Bendigo 0 - 56 on October 18 over 1m, 10 len behind Switch Hit with 131lbs at $4.40. In form and will be hard to beat.

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.