AU - Yarra Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

FIRST FIFTEEN (2) resumed much improved, narrowly beaten from the pace at Sale. Tackled a CL1 at Pakenham following and lacked a change of gears in the run to the line. Has the blinkers on for the first time and maps well in easier. A 9lbs claimer is engaged today and that brings her right into it. TIPSY GYPSY (1) resumes and is good on the fresh side. Has jumped out 4x at Flemington, and Brad Rawiller has been with her all along. Won't have to improve much to test. SMASHING RUBY (7) was narrowly beaten at Towong first-up, and there was much to like about her effort after an awkward start. Gets in light again with the 9lbs claim, and with the extra fitness, can't be ruled out. POPTHEBUBBLY (3) can build on her Maiden win at Edenhope. Has a 4lbs claim today and will position forward from the inside barrier.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Third-up today. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw February 11 over 6f defeating Benriach carrying 126lbs at $2.70. Second-up raced on the pace before fading second last of 8 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 6 over 6f, 7 len behind Azzacool with 126lbs at $19. Rates well and should find frame here. 1st Pick 2 First Fifteen Jockey: Zac Moore Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Moore T: Ciaron Maher	188	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at Sale Mdn-Sw February 11 over 6f defeating Benriach carrying 126lbs at $2.70. Second-up raced on the pace before fading second last of 8 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 6 over 6f, 7 len behind Azzacool with 126lbs at $19. Rates well and should find frame here.
1	Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 14 at Wangaratta Bm56 December 22 over 5f, soft track, 3 len behind Audio Pop Cam carrying 134lbs at $6.50. On debut third of 8 at Ballarat 4Upmdn-Sw October 14 over 5f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Cosmic Vixen carrying 129lbs at $16. Will improve on whatever she does in this. 2nd Pick 1 Tipsy Gypsy Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Ern Ewert J: Brad Rawiller T: Ern Ewert	97	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 14 at Wangaratta Bm56 December 22 over 5f, soft track, 3 len behind Audio Pop Cam carrying 134lbs at $6.50. On debut third of 8 at Ballarat 4Upmdn-Sw October 14 over 5f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Cosmic Vixen carrying 129lbs at $16. Will improve on whatever she does in this.
7	Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 9 at Towong Bm52 on March 7 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Belmasai with 116lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on November 12 2024 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Acheter with 128lbs at $8.50. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 3rd Pick 7 Smashing Ruby Jockey: Liana Wood Trainer: John Rattle J: Liana Wood T: John Rattle	95	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 9 at Towong Bm52 on March 7 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Belmasai with 116lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on November 12 2024 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Acheter with 128lbs at $8.50. Winning chance with that run under the belt.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.