AU - Yarra Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

HONEY MAKER (5) is worth another chance. Winner of a similar race two back then was poised to pounce last time but got shuffled back right at a crucial point in the race and could manage only seventh. Better than that and worth another try. EVERY LITTLE THING (11) was a close-up third fresh then stayed at that trip second-up and was safely held. Freshened and has since had a nice jump-out. Sure to improve over the extra ground. SLATE RIPPER (7) has been midfield in all three this time in but should be at his top now. Has two wins at this trip and looks ready to fire. HOT CHILLI MAMA (12) has been kept fresh since a solid fourth last time and the start prior ran on well for third over a similar journey to this. Definite threat.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	At the latest run 7th of 12 at Stony Creek Bm56 on December 30 over 1m, 7 len behind Miss Castelvecchio with 134lbs at $14. The race before that won by a neck at Tatura F&M Bm56 December 14 over 7 ¼f defeating Snappy Pierro carrying 134lbs at $3.90. Last run better than it looked and can make amends. 1st Pick 5 Honey Maker Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Shawn Mathrick J: Ben Allen T: Shawn Mathrick	138	-	-	-	39%
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 12 at Stony Creek Bm56 on December 30 over 1m, 7 len behind Miss Castelvecchio with 134lbs at $14. The race before that won by a neck at Tatura F&M Bm56 December 14 over 7 ¼f defeating Snappy Pierro carrying 134lbs at $3.90. Last run better than it looked and can make amends.
11	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 8 at Mornington Cl1 on November 10 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Stolen Art carrying 123lbs at $9. Second-up 12th of 14 at Kyneton Bm56 on December 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Bons To Riches with 130lbs at $13. Well placed and sure to improve over the extra ground. 2nd Pick 11 Every Little Thing Jockey: Celine Gaudray Trainer: David & Coral Feek J: Celine Gaudray T: David & Coral Feek	82	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 8 at Mornington Cl1 on November 10 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Stolen Art carrying 123lbs at $9. Second-up 12th of 14 at Kyneton Bm56 on December 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Bons To Riches with 130lbs at $13. Well placed and sure to improve over the extra ground.
7	Last start 6th of 10 at Echuca Bm56 on December 31 over 1m, 6 len behind Aka Daka with 134lbs at $31. The run before that 6th of 11 at Werribee Bm56 on December 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Capital Grace carrying 136lbs at $31. Has two wins this trip and expected to be running on hard. 3rd Pick 7 Slate Ripper Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Colin Mcgillivray J: Will Gordon T: Colin Mcgillivray	94	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Last start 6th of 10 at Echuca Bm56 on December 31 over 1m, 6 len behind Aka Daka with 134lbs at $31. The run before that 6th of 11 at Werribee Bm56 on December 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Capital Grace carrying 136lbs at $31. Has two wins this trip and expected to be running on hard.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.