AU - Yarra Valley - Race 2

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.4K

VIEW

Verdict

IGOTMYMINDONYOU (3) has been thereabouts and is another overdue. Placed oly try this course and distance. Drawn out last couple but from the low gate should enjoy a soft run here and gets his chance. GALAGACISCO (1) was a close-up fifth fresh then narrowly missed again last time at Nhill. This is no easier and has drawn wide but is another close to breaking through. MISS LIL (10) ran on well for third two back then just missed the frame latest. That run was off her best and she can improve here. SUN AND WAVES (11) resumed from a long break with a solid run and will strip much fitter. Aided by the claim and although yet to place has run a couple of fair races.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
16	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 30-day let-up. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Flat Chat carrying 123lbs at $4.40. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 23 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Arabella Star carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Has just missed last two and is the one they have to catch. 1st Pick 16 Taupe Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	281	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 30-day let-up. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Flat Chat carrying 123lbs at $4.40. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 23 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Arabella Star carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Has just missed last two and is the one they have to catch.
3	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on December 30 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Montjuic Magic carrying 127lbs at $13. Before that 4th of 11 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 6f, 3 len behind Warrior Within with 131lbs at $8.50. Overdue for a win and drawn for a good run. 2nd Pick 3 Igotmymindonyou Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Shane Stockdale J: Thomas Stockdale T: Shane Stockdale	104	-	-	-	46%
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on December 30 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Montjuic Magic carrying 127lbs at $13. Before that 4th of 11 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 6f, 3 len behind Warrior Within with 131lbs at $8.50. Overdue for a win and drawn for a good run.
1	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 10 at Traralgon 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Beldari with 128lbs at $10. Second-up 4th of 10 at Nhill Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 5 ¾f, 0.7 len behind Black Cherry with 131lbs at $3.20. Fitter for two runs back and looks a leading chance with any luck from the draw. 3rd Pick 1 Galagacisco Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Smiley Chan J: Ben Allen T: Smiley Chan	104	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 10 at Traralgon 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Beldari with 128lbs at $10. Second-up 4th of 10 at Nhill Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 5 ¾f, 0.7 len behind Black Cherry with 131lbs at $3.20. Fitter for two runs back and looks a leading chance with any luck from the draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.