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4:30 AM

AU - Terang - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
22.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LICENSE TO EXCITE (11) was nudged out at Colac and Warrnambool before finding the grade a bit rich at Kyneton. Peaks now off a 35-day freshen and this grade suits better. Has the winkers applied for the first time and she rates to go close. REGAL ASCEND (12) returned from a spell beaten 3.5 lengths over 6f at Moe. Settled back and can sit closer today. Also has the winkers on for the first time and John Allen is a key jockey engagement replacing the 4lbs apprentice. GLOWSHIFT (5) debuts for the Laurie yard and has been well educated. Draws inside and has the blinkers on. A bold run is likely in a winnable race. KING KALAKAUA (6) debuts for the Maher yard with the blinkers on. Draws wide but has had plenty of jumpouts and should be running into it.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
License To Excite silk

Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 10 at Kyneton 3yo F Mdn-Sw on February 10 over 6f, 5 len behind Succaforyou carrying 126lbs at $12. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Warrnambool 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 11 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Celestial Splendor with 123lbs at $5. Peaks and rates to go close.

1st Pick
11

License To Excite

Jockey: Eoin Walsh

Trainer: Henry Dwyer

J: Eoin Walsh

T: Henry Dwyer

138---25%3/1

Analysis

Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 10 at Kyneton 3yo F Mdn-Sw on February 10 over 6f, 5 len behind Succaforyou carrying 126lbs at $12. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Warrnambool 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 11 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Celestial Splendor with 123lbs at $5. Peaks and rates to go close.

12
Regal Ascend silk

Second-up. First-up after four months from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 22 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Hook 'N' Spur with 119lbs at $11. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo F Mdn-Sw on October 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Grinzinger Champ carrying 126lbs at $21. Fitter and looks set to improve sharply.

2nd Pick
12

Regal Ascend

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: John Mcardle

J: John Allen

T: John Mcardle

145---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 22 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Hook 'N' Spur with 119lbs at $11. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo F Mdn-Sw on October 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Grinzinger Champ carrying 126lbs at $21. Fitter and looks set to improve sharply.

5
Glowshift silk

Two-year-old colt (Acclamation - Dusk To Dawn). Matt Laurie has him ready for this with five recent trials prior to his debut today. Runner-up in a Mornington jump-out on March 4. Looks ready to go and keep very safe.

3rd Pick
5

Glowshift

Jockey: Patrick Moloney

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Patrick Moloney

T: Matt Laurie

61---20%4/1

Analysis

Two-year-old colt (Acclamation - Dusk To Dawn). Matt Laurie has him ready for this with five recent trials prior to his debut today. Runner-up in a Mornington jump-out on March 4. Looks ready to go and keep very safe.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.