AU - Terang - Race 4

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.3K

VIEW

Verdict

I'M HELRO (7) won two jumpouts and then was heavily bet at Horsham on debut, but faded late after stalking the lead. She's sure to have taken improvement from that and deserves another chance. BUTTERCUP (5) placed at Casterton as a short-priced favourite before the spell and raced wide without cover at Warrnambool first-up. She was well in the market and will be better for that outing. She's capable of using the inside barrier to her advantage and has winning claims. WEMBLEY STADIUM (4) resumes for the Archibald yard and has looked talented at the jumpouts. The well-bred gelding maps for the run of the race, and a bold effort is on the cards. UNDER CONTROL (14) debuts and has been well educated. Won his latest jumpout and on profile she has to be kept very safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Horsham Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Alzaro carrying 127lbs at $2.05. Looms as a serious contender. 1st Pick 7 I'm Helro Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Fred W Kersley T: Lindsey Smith	75	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Horsham Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Alzaro carrying 127lbs at $2.05. Looms as a serious contender.
5	Second-up. First-up after seven months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Dirnaseer with 127lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Casterton Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Ballynacally carrying 127lbs at $1.75. Fitter and can break through. 2nd Pick 5 Buttercup Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Jake Noonan T: Tom Dabernig	93	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Dirnaseer with 127lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Casterton Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Ballynacally carrying 127lbs at $1.75. Fitter and can break through.
4	Gelding by Zoustar making his first appearance. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Flemington on December 5. Jumps from a favourable gate and he looks very promising. 3rd Pick 4 Wembley Stadium Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Ryan Houston T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	104	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Gelding by Zoustar making his first appearance. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Flemington on December 5. Jumps from a favourable gate and he looks very promising.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.