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Resulted

AU - Caulfield - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8.4f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
104.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SAVITRI (6) is a progressive type who won in strong time when last seen at Caulfield Heath over 7 ½f. She gets 6lbs off the topweight and looks set to appreciate extra ground here. JUST KICK (8) also comes through the Getta Good Feeling race, working home well for a narrow fourth. She can improve into this. MORGANA (4) was among the placings last time when third at this track and will be fitter again, expected to run well. Holds definite each-way claims. Wary of the unbeaten PALTROW MISS (5), who made the perfect return off a long break at Sandown-Hillside. Has buckets of upside and can step right up to the mark without surprising.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Classic Gem silk

Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after four months came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at this track in the G3 Alexandra Stks on March 21 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Getta Good Feeling carrying 123lbs at $7. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Seymour 3yo F Mdn-Sw on August 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Yum carrying 126lbs at $5. Great run fresh and this trip suits, go close.

1st Pick
1

Classic Gem

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Dominic Sutton

J: Non Runner

T: Dominic Sutton

119---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after four months came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at this track in the G3 Alexandra Stks on March 21 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Getta Good Feeling carrying 123lbs at $7. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Seymour 3yo F Mdn-Sw on August 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Yum carrying 126lbs at $5. Great run fresh and this trip suits, go close.

6
Savitri silk

Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.0 len at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm66 March 18 over 7 ½f defeating Engine Of War carrying 125lbs at $2.50. The run before that 5th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Bm66 on February 25 over 6 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Enamorada carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Smart win last time and can go right on with it here.

2nd Pick
6

Savitri

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Mitchell Freedman

J: Ben Allen

T: Mitchell Freedman

135---25%

Analysis

Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.0 len at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm66 March 18 over 7 ½f defeating Engine Of War carrying 125lbs at $2.50. The run before that 5th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Bm66 on February 25 over 6 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Enamorada carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Smart win last time and can go right on with it here.

8
Just Kick silk

Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 7 at this track in the G3 Alexandra Stks on March 21 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Getta Good Feeling with 123lbs at $19. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Exford Plate on September 13 over 7f, 3 len behind Vinrock with 121lbs at $10. Fitter for the suitable rise in trip.

3rd Pick
8

Just Kick

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Emma-Lee & David Browne

88---20%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 7 at this track in the G3 Alexandra Stks on March 21 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Getta Good Feeling with 123lbs at $19. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Exford Plate on September 13 over 7f, 3 len behind Vinrock with 121lbs at $10. Fitter for the suitable rise in trip.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.