NZ - Riverton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LET FLY (3) failed to fire in 3 starts this season in the North Island and has relocated to the Joe Waldron stable. A change of scenery is just what the older mares need sometimes, and her best effort would see her winning this. Check the market moves. INDIE ARDIE (8) has held her form since posting an overdue but fully deserved maiden win at Cromwell 3 starts back. She drops 8lbs from her last start second at Wingatui, and she should go close to winning this. SIGHT TO SEE (5) is backing up quickly from a modest effort at Wingatui 6 days ago. She slides down in class and can bounce straight back into the money here. Each-way value. MARELLA MISS (9) bolted in to win her maiden in her penultimate start at Gore, and then came home with a rush for third last time out. She is backing up quickly and will be hitting the line hard again. Watch for her late. MAMAEA (6) was heavily backed and turned her form around with a ridiculously easy win at Gore 11 days ago. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Resumes after a break of ten weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 10 at Ellerslie October 25 over 1m, soft track, 5 len behind Novak carrying 130lbs at $11.60. Previously first up, 11th of 18 at Ellerslie September 6 over 1m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Mizella carrying 131lbs at $54.60. Definite winning hope. 1st Pick 3 Let Fly Jockey: Daniel Bothamley Trainer: Joseph Waldron J: Daniel Bothamley T: Joseph Waldron	120	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Resumes after a break of ten weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 10 at Ellerslie October 25 over 1m, soft track, 5 len behind Novak carrying 130lbs at $11.60. Previously first up, 11th of 18 at Ellerslie September 6 over 1m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Mizella carrying 131lbs at $54.60. Definite winning hope.
8	Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Wingatui on December 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Generation Joy with 125lbs at $6.20. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Cromwell on November 30 over 1 ¼m, 0.8 len behind Shockus carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Right in the mix again. 2nd Pick 8 Indie Ardie Jockey: Donovan Cooper Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Donovan Cooper T: Kelvin Tyler	109	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Wingatui on December 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Generation Joy with 125lbs at $6.20. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Cromwell on November 30 over 1 ¼m, 0.8 len behind Shockus carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Right in the mix again.
5	Most recently 11th of 14 at Wingatui on December 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Loose Sally with 120lbs at $12.30. The race before that 2nd of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Island Hop with 117lbs at $8.40. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 5 Sight To See Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Floor Moerman T: Kelvin Tyler	130	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Most recently 11th of 14 at Wingatui on December 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Loose Sally with 120lbs at $12.30. The race before that 2nd of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Island Hop with 117lbs at $8.40. Capable of sharp improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.