NZ - Riverton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BUOYANT (3) will find this easier than any of his last 3 starts, and even though he has a query over a mile, he is nicely placed at the weights, so stick with him, especially with the in-form Terry Moseley picking the ride on him for the first time. KING OF THE CASTLE (2) has been disappointing since coming to New Zealand, and is always flattering to deceive. If the real version of this gelding turns up, then he can figure in the top 3. PENVOSE LAD (4) just battled on a testing track at Gore 11 days ago, and will start from a superior gate this time. His form prior was strong, and he is worth another chance. GO LOTTE (5) is regular at the meetings down South, and is overdue for a top 3 finish, so don't leave her out of any top 4 combinations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start 7th of 11 at Wingatui on December 26 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Brave Spirit carrying 119lbs at $14.10. The race before that 5th of 10 at Cromwell on November 30 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Say Satono carrying 117lbs at $6.80. Worth following up. 1st Pick 3 Buoyant Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Sabin Kirkland J: Terry Moseley T: Sabin Kirkland	95	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Last start 7th of 11 at Wingatui on December 26 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Brave Spirit carrying 119lbs at $14.10. The race before that 5th of 10 at Cromwell on November 30 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Say Satono carrying 117lbs at $6.80. Worth following up.
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Shaking Stevens with 119lbs at $14.80. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Cromwell on November 30 over 1 ¼m, nose behind Peachy Keen carrying 122lbs at $6.60. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 1 Master Marko Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Non Runner T: Kelvin Tyler	122	-	-	-	27%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Shaking Stevens with 119lbs at $14.80. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Cromwell on November 30 over 1 ¼m, nose behind Peachy Keen carrying 122lbs at $6.60. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
2	Most recently 4th of 9 at Gore on December 21 over 6f, in the wet, 5.5 len behind Tomasina with 119lbs at $10.80. The start before that 8th of 11 at Cromwell on November 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Shaking Stevens with 120lbs at $8.20. Great chance to atone. 3rd Pick 2 King Of The Castle Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Kendra Bakker T: Kelvin Tyler	122	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 9 at Gore on December 21 over 6f, in the wet, 5.5 len behind Tomasina with 119lbs at $10.80. The start before that 8th of 11 at Cromwell on November 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Shaking Stevens with 120lbs at $8.20. Great chance to atone.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.