NZ - Riverton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

RIPA TIME (10) finished fifth fresh up in the Listed NZB Airfreight Stakes over 7f at Wingatui 6 days ago, and with an extra furlong to travel here, she is the one to beat back in her rightful maiden grade. On top. JAIL BIRD (4) has finished in the money in each of her 2 starts to date, and cops another decent draw here. She has been given time to get over her last run 8 weeks ago, and should be in the top 4 again here. JIKON (5) fought on for fifth at Ascot Park last time out after finishing runner-up there before that, both times over 7f. She tries a mile for the first time, and with the aid of a 7lbs claim, she is a must for all combos. SPARKY (1) whacked away to hold third over 1 ¼m at Gore 11 days ago. He won't lack fitness and is worth including in all combinations. SWOOMEE SWAN (11) is racing well in her first prep, and with the blinkers on for the first time, she should be an each-way chance again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after two months 5th of 13 at Wingatui in the LR ORC Breeders Stakes on December 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Bobby Mcgee carrying 125lbs at $58.30. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Oamaru on July 20 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind El Vaquero carrying 117lbs at $6. Plenty of improvement to come. 1st Pick 10 Ripa Time Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Floor Moerman T: Kelvin Tyler	214	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after two months 5th of 13 at Wingatui in the LR ORC Breeders Stakes on December 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Bobby Mcgee carrying 125lbs at $58.30. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Oamaru on July 20 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind El Vaquero carrying 117lbs at $6. Plenty of improvement to come.
4	Lining up for just third start. At big odds at debut, 2nd of 11 at Wingatui on October 17 over 1m, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind What She Wants carrying 127lbs at $39.90. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at Wingatui on November 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Quisiera with 125lbs at $8.80. Capable of a better showing. Could easily blow them away in the dying stages. 2nd Pick 4 Jail Bird Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Nikki & Barrie Blatch J: Terry Moseley T: Nikki & Barrie Blatch	78	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At big odds at debut, 2nd of 11 at Wingatui on October 17 over 1m, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind What She Wants carrying 127lbs at $39.90. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at Wingatui on November 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Quisiera with 125lbs at $8.80. Capable of a better showing. Could easily blow them away in the dying stages.
5	At the latest run 5th of 14 at Ascot Park on December 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Courte Xena with 125lbs at $8.70. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Venetian with 125lbs at $25.90. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 5 Jikon Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Steven Prince J: Kendra Bakker T: Steven Prince	75	-	-	-	12%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 14 at Ascot Park on December 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Courte Xena with 125lbs at $8.70. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Venetian with 125lbs at $25.90. Certainly worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.