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4:48 AM

NZH - Manawatu - Race 4

Harness
7 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BLUE CHIP LOU (6) is racing well with three nice efforts since an Alexandra Park win. Has had a month off since turning in a strong performance last time for second at Cambridge. Has the ability to take this out. SHEZABETTORGIRL (3) came from much wider to finish midfield last start at Alexandra Park. Should enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position and put together a string of wins or placings earlier in her campaign. Major player. CHANGE TACT (4) resumes after three-and-a-half months. Had some decent form last time in including a Cambridge win three back. Look out for any positive market movement. MELTON MOGUL (2) is up in grade but draws well and must be respected after putting two wins together.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Blue Chip Lou silk

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fourth behind Spiritual Bliss at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ FM on December 31 at $13.70. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second behind Louezyana at Cambridge Raceway over 1m on January 9 at $11. Strong claims.

1st Pick
6

Blue Chip Lou

Jockey: Emily Johnson

Trainer: Stephen Doody

J: Emily Johnson

T: Stephen Doody

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fourth behind Spiritual Bliss at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ FM on December 31 at $13.70. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second behind Louezyana at Cambridge Raceway over 1m on January 9 at $11. Strong claims.

3
Shezabettorgirl silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 6th (Fr8) over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park beaten 8 m by Rushkinoff (2:03.70) in 3yo+ on February 6 at $15.60. The run previous 5th (Fr1) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 5.5 m by Spiritual Bliss (2:43.40) on January 30 at $12.80. Better draw this time and may prove hard to beat.

2nd Pick
3

Shezabettorgirl

Jockey: Kate Coppins

Trainer: Michael House

J: Kate Coppins

T: Michael House

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 6th (Fr8) over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park beaten 8 m by Rushkinoff (2:03.70) in 3yo+ on February 6 at $15.60. The run previous 5th (Fr1) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 5.5 m by Spiritual Bliss (2:43.40) on January 30 at $12.80. Better draw this time and may prove hard to beat.

4
Change Tact silk

Resumes. Finished off last preparation when beaten by 7 m finishing sixth behind Dreams Of Eric at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on October 30 at $3.80. Previous preparation first-up won by a neck as favourite (Fr1) at Cambridge Raceway (2:43.10) beating Bet West in on January 24 2025 at $1.50. Proven fresh so could make a winning return.

3rd Pick
4

Change Tact

Jockey: Crystal Hackett

Trainer: Matthew White

J: Crystal Hackett

T: Matthew White

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Resumes. Finished off last preparation when beaten by 7 m finishing sixth behind Dreams Of Eric at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on October 30 at $3.80. Previous preparation first-up won by a neck as favourite (Fr1) at Cambridge Raceway (2:43.10) beating Bet West in on January 24 2025 at $1.50. Proven fresh so could make a winning return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.