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4:20 AM

NZH - Manawatu - Race 3

Harness
8 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

EAGLE HANOVER (8) turned in a much better effort at her latest appearance, finishing second over 1 ?m at Taupo. Gives away ¼f at the handicap but with even luck she is a primary contender. MASS DISRUPTION (1) is back after a nearly seven-week let-up but has a couple of decent recent Alexandra Park efforts under the belt and should enjoy the favours from this starting position. SCOOTS (7) hasn't done a bad job to finish midfield in his last few outings and was runner-up the last time he raced here. VALENTINA SHEVCHENKO (2) is in the mix following some solid efforts including a fourth at her most recent appearance at Taupo.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Eagle Hanover silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1m at Taupo beaten 2.75 m by Conrad H (2:32.00) on January 26 at $17.10. Can go one better.

1st Pick
8

Eagle Hanover

Jockey: Kate Coppins

Trainer: Jay Abernethy

J: Kate Coppins

T: Jay Abernethy

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1m at Taupo beaten 2.75 m by Conrad H (2:32.00) on January 26 at $17.10. Can go one better.

1
Mass Disruption silk

Has struggled of late. Last start 6th (FrU1) over 1m at Cambridge Raceway beaten 35 m by Brass Razoo (2:51.70) in 3yo+ on December 24 at $11.30. The run previous 6th (FrU3) over 1m at Alexandra Park was leading by 1m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 12 m by I'll Call You (2:54.70) in 3yo+ on December 5 at $15.60. Should get every chance.

2nd Pick
1

Mass Disruption

Jockey: Peter Ferguson

Trainer: Jason Teaz

J: Peter Ferguson

T: Jason Teaz

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Has struggled of late. Last start 6th (FrU1) over 1m at Cambridge Raceway beaten 35 m by Brass Razoo (2:51.70) in 3yo+ on December 24 at $11.30. The run previous 6th (FrU3) over 1m at Alexandra Park was leading by 1m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 12 m by I'll Call You (2:54.70) in 3yo+ on December 5 at $15.60. Should get every chance.

7
Scoots silk

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Taupo beaten 15 m by Conrad H (2:32.00) on January 26 at $16.60. The run before 7th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Hawera, beaten 55 m by Nazareth (2:40.20) on January 20 at $56.90. Chance to find winning form.

3rd Pick
7

Scoots

Jockey: Andre Poutama

Trainer: Allen Pyers

J: Andre Poutama

T: Allen Pyers

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Taupo beaten 15 m by Conrad H (2:32.00) on January 26 at $16.60. The run before 7th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Hawera, beaten 55 m by Nazareth (2:40.20) on January 20 at $56.90. Chance to find winning form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.