AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

20.9K

VIEW

Verdict

OUR LITTLE STAR (4) win record hardly excites but comes here in peak condition. Stalked the fast tempo with a gritty second over 6f at Cowra. Can get cover from the sticky draw and finish over the top of them. SHUTTERING (9) was a month between runs when she knocked up late to run sixth over 6f at Wagga. Has further improvement and expected to go close in this easier race. SHEZAIN (7) returned from a lengthy break with a hard fought Maiden win over 5f at Moruya. Finds a tougher test from the draw and expected to get the 6f. Keep safe. LIAMENA AVENUE (8) kept fresh when he pushed forward for a fighting third over this trip at Moruya. On the quick backup and stays in the calculations. JAZZ ALL KNIGHT (3) has a good record over this track and trip and no surprise to see him bounce back in this class.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Cowra Ctry Bm58 on January 18 over 6f, long-neck behind Wonderful Mistake with 131lbs at $4.20. The run before that 5th of 12 at Gundagai Cl1 on January 2 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Denial with 129lbs at $4.80. Major player ready to deliver. 1st Pick 4 Our Little Star Jockey: Coriah Keatings Trainer: Nick Olive J: Coriah Keatings T: Nick Olive	146	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Cowra Ctry Bm58 on January 18 over 6f, long-neck behind Wonderful Mistake with 131lbs at $4.20. The run before that 5th of 12 at Gundagai Cl1 on January 2 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Denial with 129lbs at $4.80. Major player ready to deliver.
9	At the latest run 6th of 9 at Wagga Bm58 on January 11 over 6f, 4 len behind Triptolemus carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Canberra Mdn-Sw December 12 over 6f in soft going defeating State Secret carrying 122lbs at $8.50. Key chance who strips fitter. 2nd Pick 9 Shuttering Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Luke Pepper J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Luke Pepper	121	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 9 at Wagga Bm58 on January 11 over 6f, 4 len behind Triptolemus carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Canberra Mdn-Sw December 12 over 6f in soft going defeating State Secret carrying 122lbs at $8.50. Key chance who strips fitter.
7	Third race start. Promising on debut ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Canberra Opalpreview on February 23 2024 over 5f, slow going 2.25 len behind Vella's Best carrying 120lbs at $6. Went for a spell before returning favourite, won by a head at Moruya Ctry Mdn January 5 over 5f defeating Dubbo Boy carrying 127lbs at $1.95. Still has scope for improvement and will need luck from the gate. 3rd Pick 7 Shezain Jockey: Nick Heywood Trainer: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden J: Nick Heywood T: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden	125	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Canberra Opalpreview on February 23 2024 over 5f, slow going 2.25 len behind Vella's Best carrying 120lbs at $6. Went for a spell before returning favourite, won by a head at Moruya Ctry Mdn January 5 over 5f defeating Dubbo Boy carrying 127lbs at $1.95. Still has scope for improvement and will need luck from the gate.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.