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6:15 AM

AU - Randwick - Race 9

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
11.9f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 7
1388.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OBSERVER (1) just over three weeks between runs when he stalked the fast tempo to finish a courageous third over 1 ¼m in the G1 Rosehill Guineas. Can take control early from the wide gate and attempt to repeat his all-the-way win in the Victorian Derby last November. GREEN SPACES (3) gradually working up to his right trip fourth-up and like the closed late to finish second in the Rosehill Guineas. Held in high regard by the stable and shapes as the main danger. STORM LEOPARD (5) bounced off his unlucky Vobis Guineas fifth, with a dominant win over 1 ¼m at Rosehill in the G2 Tulloch Stakes last Saturday. Berry has been bullish all week, and not without top-four claims. ROAD TO PARIS (2) from an astute NZ yard and comes here after scoring a breathtaking victory over 1 ½m in the G1 New Zealand Derby at Ellerslie. Is a month between runs heading into this with the blinkers going on. Hard to ignore with Purton aboard. DEAL DONE FAST (4) Victorian Derby placed last year, keep safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Observer silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Rosehill in the G1 Rhil Gneas on March 21 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.75 len behind Autumn Boy carrying 125lbs at $2.10. Before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Flemington G1 Aust Gns February 28 over 1m defeating Planet Red with 126lbs at $1.85. Fitter now and can do the Derby double.

1st Pick
1

Observer

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: James Mcdonald

T: Ciaron Maher

177---37%7/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Rosehill in the G1 Rhil Gneas on March 21 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.75 len behind Autumn Boy carrying 125lbs at $2.10. Before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Flemington G1 Aust Gns February 28 over 1m defeating Planet Red with 126lbs at $1.85. Fitter now and can do the Derby double.

3
Green Spaces silk

At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Rosehill in the G1 Rhil Gneas on March 21 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Autumn Boy carrying 125lbs at $21. The race before that got back early 6th of 9 at this track in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 6 len behind Sheza Alibi with 125lbs at $61. Progressing well and should have little trouble running the trip, go close.

2nd Pick
3

Green Spaces

Jockey: Rachel King

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Rachel King

T: Bjorn Baker

128---27%11/4

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Rosehill in the G1 Rhil Gneas on March 21 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Autumn Boy carrying 125lbs at $21. The race before that got back early 6th of 9 at this track in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 6 len behind Sheza Alibi with 125lbs at $61. Progressing well and should have little trouble running the trip, go close.

5
Storm Leopard silk

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Rosehill G2 Tulloch March 28 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Eureka Rebel carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The start before that 5th of 16 at Caulfield Vobis Guineas on March 14 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Salty Pearl with 128lbs at $18. On the quick back-up and can test his more fancied rivals.

3rd Pick
5

Storm Leopard

Jockey: Tommy Berry

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Tommy Berry

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

144---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Rosehill G2 Tulloch March 28 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Eureka Rebel carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The start before that 5th of 16 at Caulfield Vobis Guineas on March 14 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Salty Pearl with 128lbs at $18. On the quick back-up and can test his more fancied rivals.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.