AU - Randwick - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

173.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

AERODROME (4) took control early and showed a ton of grit with a well-deserved win over 7f in the LR Canberra Guineas. Fresh for this and kept up to the mark with a recent 6f trial at Randwick. Gets the right set-up and shapes as the value play in the race. RIVELLINO (1) comes back a few levels here after finishing off okay when fourth in a very strong G1 Randwick Guineas over this course and distance. Will go back early and look for him closing late. WEST OF SWINDON (2) has disappointed in three runs back and the stable will be looking for the blinkers to do the trick from the good gate. Maps well and no surprise to see him return to winning form. PROVIDENCE (5) is a talented colt who was no match when seventh behind Sheza Alibi in the Randwick Guineas. Group 2 placed in the Spring and since fitted with a 5 ?f trial. Worth thought.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Third-up today. First-up raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track Bm88 on February 14 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Movin Out with 119lbs at $3.30. Second-up won by 0.8 len at Canberra LR Canb Gneas March 8 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Cando Attitude with 128lbs at $12. Promising galloper. In great order and will have little trouble running a strong 1m. 1st Pick 4 Aerodrome Jockey: Regan Bayliss Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Regan Bayliss T: Michael Freedman	145	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track Bm88 on February 14 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Movin Out with 119lbs at $3.30. Second-up won by 0.8 len at Canberra LR Canb Gneas March 8 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Cando Attitude with 128lbs at $12. Promising galloper. In great order and will have little trouble running a strong 1m.
1	At the latest run 4th of 9 at this track in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 6 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 125lbs at $61. Before that 5th of 7 at Rosehill in the G2 Hobartvlle on February 21 over 7f, 3 len behind Ninja with 125lbs at $41. Drops a few levels for this and set to bounce back. 2nd Pick 1 Rivellino Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Kris Lees J: Jason Collett T: Kris Lees	206	-	-	-	19%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 9 at this track in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 6 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 125lbs at $61. Before that 5th of 7 at Rosehill in the G2 Hobartvlle on February 21 over 7f, 3 len behind Ninja with 125lbs at $41. Drops a few levels for this and set to bounce back.
2	Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Rosehill in the G2 Phar Lap on March 14 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Sixties carrying 125lbs at $12. The race before that 6th of 10 at Flemington in the G1 Aust Gns on February 28 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Observer with 126lbs at $26. Key chance on best form and the blinkers can do the trick. 3rd Pick 2 West Of Swindon Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ben Melham T: Ciaron Maher	132	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Rosehill in the G2 Phar Lap on March 14 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Sixties carrying 125lbs at $12. The race before that 6th of 10 at Flemington in the G1 Aust Gns on February 28 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Observer with 126lbs at $26. Key chance on best form and the blinkers can do the trick.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.