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6:40 AM

Japan - Tokyo RC - Race 11

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
1746.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ADMIRE ZOOM (8) was prominent at the corner and finished a neck from the winner in second when resuming last start in the G2 New Zealand Trophy (NHK Mile Cup Trial) at Nakayama over this distance. Has a strong record at this trip, scoring two times from four starts. Can turn the tables on MMIGRANT SONG (6) who has returned in good shape this preparation. Opened with a third at this track two starts back then landed the prize by a neck last time out over 1m in the G2 New Zealand Trophy (NHK Mile Cup Trial) at Nakayama. Expected to go close again. MAGIC SANDS (10) settled well back from a wide draw last time then wound up strongly to finish sixth over 1 ¼m in the G1 Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) at Nakayama. Solid top-three hope. LANCE OF CHAOS (5) built on a nice third two starts back in the G3 Kisaragi Sho (NHK Sho) at Kyoto with a win over 1m in Group 3 class at Hanshin five weeks ago. Rates a leading player on best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Admire Zoom silk

Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 14 at Nakayama in the G2 New Zealand Trophy (NHK Mile Cup Trial) on April 12 over 1m, neck behind Immigrant Song carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up favourite, won by 3 len at Kyoto November 10 over 1m defeating All The Rage carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Sure to run well.

1st Pick
8

Admire Zoom

Jockey: Yuga Kawada

Trainer: Y Tomomichi

J: Yuga Kawada

T: Y Tomomichi

210---39%13/8

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 14 at Nakayama in the G2 New Zealand Trophy (NHK Mile Cup Trial) on April 12 over 1m, neck behind Immigrant Song carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up favourite, won by 3 len at Kyoto November 10 over 1m defeating All The Rage carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Sure to run well.

6
Immigrant Song silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 13 at this track on February 23 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Gutenberg carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Last start won by a neck at Nakayama G2 New Zealand Trophy (NHK Mile Cup Trial) April 12 over 1m defeating Admire Zoom carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Should be right in the finish.

2nd Pick
6

Immigrant Song

Jockey: Christophe Lemaire

Trainer: Tetsuhide Tsuji

J: Christophe Lemaire

T: Tetsuhide Tsuji

156---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 13 at this track on February 23 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Gutenberg carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Last start won by a neck at Nakayama G2 New Zealand Trophy (NHK Mile Cup Trial) April 12 over 1m defeating Admire Zoom carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Should be right in the finish.

10
Magic Sands silk

Racing second-up today. Last outing 6th of 18 at Nakayama in the G1 Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) on April 20 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind Museum Mile with 126lbs at $201.50. At only start last preparation 16th of 18 at Nakayama in the G1 Hopeful Stakes on December 28 over 1 ¼m, 12 len behind Croix Du Nord carrying 123lbs at $6.40. Among the leading chances.

3rd Pick
10

Magic Sands

Jockey: Yutaka Take

Trainer: N Sugai

J: Yutaka Take

T: N Sugai

120---12%8/1

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Last outing 6th of 18 at Nakayama in the G1 Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) on April 20 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind Museum Mile with 126lbs at $201.50. At only start last preparation 16th of 18 at Nakayama in the G1 Hopeful Stakes on December 28 over 1 ¼m, 12 len behind Croix Du Nord carrying 123lbs at $6.40. Among the leading chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.