Japan - Tokyo RC - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

73.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

PAVE RING (5) is a two-start maiden who filled a minor placing at Nakayama at the last run before spelling. Expect she has come on over the break. Well placed and happy to have her on top. KITASAN RISER (1) faced the starter for the first time and finished fifth last start at Nakayama over 1 ¼m, beaten 4.5 lengths. Should progress this time and is expected to feature. CHANGE OF HEART (6) missed the placings when resuming two runs back then didn't feature last start when 5.5 lengths away in eighth over 1m at this track after being in contention on the bend. Looks well placed so expect a big run this time. WIDE KRIEGER (12) is a five-start maiden who returned last time and finished 12th at Hanshin over 7f, beaten 6 lengths. Will derive great benefit from that outing and deserves consideration.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Resuming. Finished off last preparation held ground to the line 2nd of 18 at Nakayama on March 1 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Good Lesson with 121lbs at $21.90. When resuming last campaign 6th of 16 at Nakayama on December 8 over 1m, 3 len behind Birthright carrying 121lbs at $19.30. Expected to play a major role. 1st Pick 5 Pave Ring Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Trainer: Masayoshi Ebina J: Christophe Lemaire T: Masayoshi Ebina	102	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation held ground to the line 2nd of 18 at Nakayama on March 1 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Good Lesson with 121lbs at $21.90. When resuming last campaign 6th of 16 at Nakayama on December 8 over 1m, 3 len behind Birthright carrying 121lbs at $19.30. Expected to play a major role.
1	At debut, 5th of 16 at Nakayama on April 20 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Rutonwaji carrying 126lbs at $5.70. Can improve and should give a good account. 2nd Pick 1 Kitasan Riser Jockey: Seinosuke Yoshimura Trainer: Hiroo Shimizu J: Seinosuke Yoshimura T: Hiroo Shimizu	85	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At debut, 5th of 16 at Nakayama on April 20 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Rutonwaji carrying 126lbs at $5.70. Can improve and should give a good account.
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 15 at Fukushima on April 19 over 1m, 4 len behind Red Stern with 119lbs at $3.90. Second run from a spell 8th of 15 at this track on May 4 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Assembly Room with 126lbs at $12.70. Has the ability to take this out. 3rd Pick 6 Change Of Heart Jockey: K Tosaki Trainer: Hiroyasu Tanaka J: K Tosaki T: Hiroyasu Tanaka	214	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 15 at Fukushima on April 19 over 1m, 4 len behind Red Stern with 119lbs at $3.90. Second run from a spell 8th of 15 at this track on May 4 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Assembly Room with 126lbs at $12.70. Has the ability to take this out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.