Japan - Tokyo RC - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Dirt

104.8K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

SYDNEY HOBART (5) has been kept fresh since an all-the-way win over 1 ?m at Hanshin Dirt. Should be prominent again and is a leading hope. MERCURY DIME (13) wasted no time getting off the mark as favourite on debut over 1 ?m at Nakayama Dirt three-and-a-half months ago and has not appeared since. Has plenty of upside and can win again. TAISEI KAISER (14) turned in a modest performance when 11th last start over 1 ?m at Nakayama Dirt, beaten 15 lengths. That followed a good win on debut at Chukyo Dirt. Finds a suitable race and can return to winning ways. AUREA MIST (1) looks to kick off this prep the way he ended the last three months ago when he scored over 1 ³/16m at Kyoto Dirt. Serious contender.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second run back. Comes off a 56-day let-up. First-up after two months favourite, won by 7 len at Hanshin Dirt March 16 over 1m defeating Grail Quest with 126lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up 2nd of 15 at Chukyo on December 1 over 1m, 3 len behind Large Gallery with 123lbs at $7.10. Great chance to make it two in a row. Improver with winning prospects. 1st Pick 5 Sydney Hobart Jockey: Kohei Matsuyama Trainer: Yoshiaki Sugiyama J: Kohei Matsuyama T: Yoshiaki Sugiyama	65	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 56-day let-up. First-up after two months favourite, won by 7 len at Hanshin Dirt March 16 over 1m defeating Grail Quest with 126lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up 2nd of 15 at Chukyo on December 1 over 1m, 3 len behind Large Gallery with 123lbs at $7.10. Great chance to make it two in a row. Improver with winning prospects.
13	Resumes from a spell after only one run when favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at Nakayama Dirt January 26 over 1m defeating Contio with 121lbs at $1.90. Could prove too smart for these. 2nd Pick 13 Mercury Dime Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Trainer: Ryo Takei J: Christophe Lemaire T: Ryo Takei	102	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Resumes from a spell after only one run when favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at Nakayama Dirt January 26 over 1m defeating Contio with 121lbs at $1.90. Could prove too smart for these.
14	Had two starts to date. At debut, won by 2.5 len at Chukyo Dirt March 30 over 1m defeating Tagano Malakh carrying 126lbs at $7.90. Second-up 11th of 15 at Nakayama Dirt on April 20 over 1m, 15 len behind Narukami carrying 126lbs at $10.80. Genuine contender in this suitable contest. 3rd Pick 14 Taisei Kaiser Jockey: Yuga Kawada Trainer: Yutaka Okumura J: Yuga Kawada T: Yutaka Okumura	121	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. At debut, won by 2.5 len at Chukyo Dirt March 30 over 1m defeating Tagano Malakh carrying 126lbs at $7.90. Second-up 11th of 15 at Nakayama Dirt on April 20 over 1m, 15 len behind Narukami carrying 126lbs at $10.80. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

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