Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.3K

VIEW

Verdict

THUNDER PRINCE (6) is knocking on the door of a maiden win, finishing 2.5L off the winner on the All Weather last time out. Purton hops in the saddle now with a return to this track and trip where he jumped favourite two back. The inside draw is a big tick and he looks well placed to knock over his maiden. NORTHERN FIRE BALL (1) got a long way back last start and never featured over this track and trip. Back in grade today with Bowman taking the ride, this looks a targeted attack. Expecting him to sit closer today and can bounce back to winning ways. KING OBERON (2) is looking for the hat-trick following a 0.8L victory as a 20-1 chance. He's had a quiet trial since that effort and comes here on the rise. This shapes similarly today and he can continue his winning ways. BITS SUPERSTAR (7) is better than what we saw last start and can bounce back with McDonald on board.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Recent form sound. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on November 30 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Day Day Victory carrying 130lbs at $7. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Charming Babe with 128lbs at $2.20. Deserves a win and gets his chance. 1st Pick 6 Thunder Prince Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Zac Purton T: Jamie Richards	134	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on November 30 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Day Day Victory carrying 130lbs at $7. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Charming Babe with 128lbs at $2.20. Deserves a win and gets his chance.
1	Second run back. First-up after five months ran last of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 4 len behind King Miles carrying 119lbs at $23. Previously second-up 6th of 13 at Sha Tin on October 13 2024 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Patch Of Cosmo carrying 123lbs at $5.40. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer. 2nd Pick 1 Northern Fire Ball Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: C H Yip J: Hugh Bowman T: C H Yip	116	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months ran last of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 4 len behind King Miles carrying 119lbs at $23. Previously second-up 6th of 13 at Sha Tin on October 13 2024 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Patch Of Cosmo carrying 123lbs at $5.40. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.
2	Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track November 12 over 6f defeating Pejibaye with 127lbs at $21. The run before that won by a neck at this track October 22 over 6f defeating Star Figure carrying 123lbs at $7.20. Well placed and is a leading player. 3rd Pick 2 King Oberon Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: D Whyte J: Luke Ferraris T: D Whyte	101	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track November 12 over 6f defeating Pejibaye with 127lbs at $21. The run before that won by a neck at this track October 22 over 6f defeating Star Figure carrying 123lbs at $7.20. Well placed and is a leading player.

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