NZ - Ellerslie - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

33.2K

VIEW

Verdict

BRADLEY (11) has hit his straps this season, and unleashed a big run to score at Trentham in decent BM65 company 4 weeks ago over a mile. Opie Bosson retains the ride, and with 6lbs less to carry here, he can take the next step immediately. UP THE ANTI (6) did not take long to find winning form from the O'Sullivan/Scott stable, scoring here by a head a month ago. He has performed well at this level in the past, and he can repeat the dose. BIG WAVE (2) nearly stole it here last time out when leading and only being claimed late, finishing runner-up by half a length. He is a big, bold front-running gelding that can take them all the way here. SAVOIR FAIRE (1) resumes from a spell with 3 trials under his belt, and he has been placed in 4 of his 5 starts fresh up in the past. He benefits from a 7lbs claim and could upset them here. PEERLESS (14) was a sound fourth here last time out, and won't have any fitness concerns after 3 runs back from a spell. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at Trentham January 3 over 1m on a soft track defeating Unusual Invader carrying 130lbs at $3.90. Before that 2nd of 14 at Trentham on December 6 over 1m, slow going nose behind Knickerless with 128lbs at $10. Impressed last start and can go on with it. 1st Pick 11 Bradley Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Cody Cole J: Opie Bosson T: Cody Cole	145	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at Trentham January 3 over 1m on a soft track defeating Unusual Invader carrying 130lbs at $3.90. Before that 2nd of 14 at Trentham on December 6 over 1m, slow going nose behind Knickerless with 128lbs at $10. Impressed last start and can go on with it.
6	Recent form sound. Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track January 1 over 1m in soft going defeating The Exponent carrying 132lbs at $7.70. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 7 ½f, slow going head behind Altari with 131lbs at $27.10. Big chance again. 2nd Pick 6 Up The Anti Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: George Rooke T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	132	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track January 1 over 1m in soft going defeating The Exponent carrying 132lbs at $7.70. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 7 ½f, slow going head behind Altari with 131lbs at $27.10. Big chance again.
2	Last start 2nd of 15 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Sorghaghtani carrying 128lbs at $15.80. Before that 10th of 15 at this track on December 26 over 7 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Rise Companions carrying 122lbs at $16. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 2 Big Wave Jockey: Tayla Mitchell Trainer: Caitlin Mckee J: Tayla Mitchell T: Caitlin Mckee	122	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Last start 2nd of 15 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Sorghaghtani carrying 128lbs at $15.80. Before that 10th of 15 at this track on December 26 over 7 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Rise Companions carrying 122lbs at $16. Will take plenty of beating.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.