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6:41 AM

AU1 - Newcastle - Race 8

Harness
9 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PAYTONS ROCK (1) ran fourth last start at this track over 1m, beaten 7 metres. No excuses from this advantageous draw. This doesn't look as hard, so he is the one to beat. AMERICAN WEREWOLF (3) finished seventh last start over 1m at this track, beaten 9 metres, after a good third at Tamworth the run prior. No excuses from this advantageous draw. Has the ability to take this out. ZEN MASTER (6) disappointed last time when seventh over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith. Can bounce back. CAPTAIN BLOOD (9) is drawn to get a soft run and can improve from his last start modest effort. Include in all combinations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Paytons Rock silk

Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1m after racing wide at this track beaten 7 m by Major Jarod (1:56.20) in NR up to 52 on October 3 at $12. Before that, 7th (Fr3) over 1m at this track was 6th-10.95 at the bell, beaten 17 m by Kissmelvis (1:54.70) in NR 55 to 60 on September 23 at $18. Watch for a spike in form.

1st Pick
1

Paytons Rock

Jockey: Jemma Coney

Trainer: S E Kilroy

J: Jemma Coney

T: S E Kilroy

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1m after racing wide at this track beaten 7 m by Major Jarod (1:56.20) in NR up to 52 on October 3 at $12. Before that, 7th (Fr3) over 1m at this track was 6th-10.95 at the bell, beaten 17 m by Kissmelvis (1:54.70) in NR 55 to 60 on September 23 at $18. Watch for a spike in form.

3
American Werewolf silk

Last start was well back in the run when 7th (Fr8) over 1m at this track, beaten 9 m by Tiger Prince (1:53.60) in NR up to 58 on October 10 at $26. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Sr4) over 1 ³/16m at Tamworth, at the bell was 8th-9.2 beaten 4 m by Ultimate Empire (2:28.00) in NR up to 55 on October 2 at $6. Nicely drawn this time and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
3

American Werewolf

Jockey: Brad Elder

Trainer: Darren Elder

J: Brad Elder

T: Darren Elder

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start was well back in the run when 7th (Fr8) over 1m at this track, beaten 9 m by Tiger Prince (1:53.60) in NR up to 58 on October 10 at $26. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Sr4) over 1 ³/16m at Tamworth, at the bell was 8th-9.2 beaten 4 m by Ultimate Empire (2:28.00) in NR up to 55 on October 2 at $6. Nicely drawn this time and can bounce back.

6
Zen Master silk

Last start 7th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith was 8th-13.23 at the bell, beaten 7 m by Michaywey (2:03.60) in NR up to 62 on October 2 at $8. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ¼m after showing early speed at this track, at the bell was 2nd-5.05 beaten a head by Dance With Carmer (2:24.80) in NR 54 to 62 on September 19 at $7. Worth another chance.

3rd Pick
6

Zen Master

Jockey: Lleyton Green

Trainer: D A Mcdowell, K L Mcdowell

J: Lleyton Green

T: D A Mcdowell, K L Mcdowell

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 7th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith was 8th-13.23 at the bell, beaten 7 m by Michaywey (2:03.60) in NR up to 62 on October 2 at $8. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ¼m after showing early speed at this track, at the bell was 2nd-5.05 beaten a head by Dance With Carmer (2:24.80) in NR 54 to 62 on September 19 at $7. Worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.