AU1 - Albion Park - Race 1

Harness

6 Runners

10.6f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.2K

VIEW

Verdict

DARCYS FIREBALL (4) was out of the money two starts ago then things went wrong last start when he broke and finished a long last over 1 ?/16m at Marburg. This doesn't look as hard so he can bounce back if he brings his Mitch Manners. FENOMENAL (2) finished fifth last start, beaten 11 metres at this track over 1 5/16m. Expect him to be prominent from the low draw. TE RAPA (6) is heading the right way, improving last time out to finish second at Marburg over 1 ?/16m. Genuine threat. SON OF A SUN (5) is worth some thought after his last-start fifth over 1 m here on October 7. One for the multiples.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Backing up quickly after 6th ( Fr3) over 1/16m at Marburg, well beaten by Hammer Son (3:17.20) in NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $1.70. The run previous 5th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 21 m by Hes Regal (2:36.10) in NR up to 40 on October 16 at $3.20. Has ability and can do much better. 1st Pick 4 Darcys Fireball Jockey: Nathan Dawson Trainer: Graham Dwyer J: Nathan Dawson T: Graham Dwyer	77	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Backing up quickly after 6th ( Fr3) over 1/16m at Marburg, well beaten by Hammer Son (3:17.20) in NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $1.70. The run previous 5th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 21 m by Hes Regal (2:36.10) in NR up to 40 on October 16 at $3.20. Has ability and can do much better.
2	Last start 5th (?f Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 11 m by Daimyo (2:40.80) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 30 at $4.80. The start before 5th (?f Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 25 m by Good Heart (2:40.90) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 23 at $5.50. Has a low draw and should go well. 2nd Pick 2 Fenomenal Jockey: Darren Mccall Trainer: Darren Mccall J: Darren Mccall T: Darren Mccall	75	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 5th (?f Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 11 m by Daimyo (2:40.80) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 30 at $4.80. The start before 5th (?f Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 25 m by Good Heart (2:40.90) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 23 at $5.50. Has a low draw and should go well.
6	Two back was tenth after being driven well back, behind Shez A Punter at this track over 1 m in a NR 41 to 46 on October 16 at $34. Then a handy effort when second behind Hammer Son at Marburg over 1/16m in a NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $9.50. One of the key runners. 3rd Pick 6 Te Rapa Jockey: Gary Whitaker Trainer: Graham Dwyer J: Gary Whitaker T: Graham Dwyer	74	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Two back was tenth after being driven well back, behind Shez A Punter at this track over 1 m in a NR 41 to 46 on October 16 at $34. Then a handy effort when second behind Hammer Son at Marburg over 1/16m in a NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $9.50. One of the key runners.

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