AU1 - Stawell - Race 6

Harness

9 Runners

10.8f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SOHO TIGER LILY (1) made a solid impact on debut a week-and-a-half ago, finishing second and beaten 5 metres over 1 ¹/16m at Ararat. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run. Won't find this any harder and she can make the breakthrough. BUBBLE OVER (7) was responsible for a very good effort last time over 1 ¹/16m at Ararat, finishing second and just a nose from the winner. Will need a bit of luck negotiating a very wide starting position. Meets a comparable field and she is a strong winning hope. THATS KEVIN (8) must be considered after he finished runner-up over 1 5/16m at Terang a week ago. MAGELLAN (9) should be at her peak at the fourth run back from a spell, the latest outing a fifth at Bendigo nine days ago.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Three-year-old filly facing the starter for the second time. At debut solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Ararat, at the bell was leading 1.5 beaten 5 m by Topsie Beware (2:13.60) in MAIDEN on March 23 at $2.50. Nicely drawn and open to improvement. 1st Pick 1 Soho Tiger Lily Jockey: Alex Ashwood Trainer: Michael Stanley J: Alex Ashwood T: Michael Stanley	77	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Three-year-old filly facing the starter for the second time. At debut solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Ararat, at the bell was leading 1.5 beaten 5 m by Topsie Beware (2:13.60) in MAIDEN on March 23 at $2.50. Nicely drawn and open to improvement.
7	Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing fourth after showing early speed, behind Keayang Passion at Ararat over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on February 27 at $13. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Always Be Techy at Ararat over 1 ¹/16m in a MAIDEN on March 23 at $7. Expected to feature. 2nd Pick 7 Bubble Over Jockey: Jason Ainsworth Trainer: Jason Ainsworth J: Jason Ainsworth T: Jason Ainsworth	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing fourth after showing early speed, behind Keayang Passion at Ararat over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on February 27 at $13. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Always Be Techy at Ararat over 1 ¹/16m in a MAIDEN on March 23 at $7. Expected to feature.
8	Two back was well beaten into ninth behind Colosimo at Maryborough over 1 5/16m in a 3yo 10 0K on March 16 at $31. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Keayang Dreamgirl at Terang over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on March 27 at $34. Among the better chances. 3rd Pick 8 Thats Kevin Jockey: Jackie Barker Trainer: D R Bourke J: Jackie Barker T: D R Bourke	74	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Two back was well beaten into ninth behind Colosimo at Maryborough over 1 5/16m in a 3yo 10 0K on March 16 at $31. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Keayang Dreamgirl at Terang over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on March 27 at $34. Among the better chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.