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4:39 AM

AU1 - Stawell - Race 5

Harness
8 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUCKY VINCENT (2) finished fifth last start, beaten 13 metres at Bendigo over 1 5/16m. Talented and has plenty of upside. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Has the talent to take care of this field. ROCKNROLL WILLOW (6) resumes from a spell of four months after showing some very good form last campaign, the last run being a eighth over 1 ?m at Melton. Likely to run a big race to kick off this campaign. MEDIA MOGUL (4) last appeared when eighth over 1 ¹/16m at Ararat five months ago. Expect a better effort to kick off this prep. ONYX (8) won two starts ago then things went wrong last start when he broke and finished 35 metres away in sixth over 1 5/16m at Terang. No harm in drawing here with the sprint lane to rely upon. Won't find this any harder and he can bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Lucky Vincent silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at Bendigo, beaten 13 m by Mount Barker Boy (2:35.30) in 3yo 10 0K on March 25 at $61. The start before 8th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at Maryborough beaten 30 m by Colosimo (2:42.20) in 3yo 10 0K on March 16 at $17. Rates highly on best form and expected to atone.

1st Pick
2

Lucky Vincent

Jockey: Jordan Leedham

Trainer: Geoff Webster

J: Jordan Leedham

T: Geoff Webster

77---37%7/4

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at Bendigo, beaten 13 m by Mount Barker Boy (2:35.30) in 3yo 10 0K on March 25 at $61. The start before 8th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at Maryborough beaten 30 m by Colosimo (2:42.20) in 3yo 10 0K on March 16 at $17. Rates highly on best form and expected to atone.

6
Rocknroll Willow silk

Returns after four months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into eighth behind Arrhythmia at Melton over 1m in a 2yo G2 No NR F on December 13 at $26. Previous preparation first-up posted a big 6 m win as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr1) at Ararat (2:13.60) beating The Blazinboots in 0-1 WIN on August 18 at $1.90. Expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
6

Rocknroll Willow

Jockey: Kerryn Manning

Trainer: Danny O'brien

J: Kerryn Manning

T: Danny O'brien

76---34%2/1

Analysis

Returns after four months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into eighth behind Arrhythmia at Melton over 1m in a 2yo G2 No NR F on December 13 at $26. Previous preparation first-up posted a big 6 m win as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr1) at Ararat (2:13.60) beating The Blazinboots in 0-1 WIN on August 18 at $1.90. Expected to be in the finish.

4
Media Mogul silk

Resuming after a spell of five months. Finished off last campaign when well beaten into eighth after a quick start, behind King Kasey at Ararat over 1 ¹/16m in a 0-4 WINS on October 27 at $41. Rates highly. Should be in the finish.

3rd Pick
4

Media Mogul

Jockey: Michael Bellman

Trainer: M J Bellman

J: Michael Bellman

T: M J Bellman

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Resuming after a spell of five months. Finished off last campaign when well beaten into eighth after a quick start, behind King Kasey at Ararat over 1 ¹/16m in a 0-4 WINS on October 27 at $41. Rates highly. Should be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.