AE - Abu Dhabi - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Unknown

Turf

18.0K

VIEW

Verdict

GUARANI (3) bounced back to something more like his true ability last start at Jebel Ali, finishing a more competitive fourth over 6f. He's got the class to shrug off his recent patchy form, and this looks a race where he can reassert himself. ARIGATOU GOZAIMASU (1) doesn't win out of turn, but her effort here last start was full of merit, missing by just a nose over 6f. She's honest, consistent, and well placed to give this a real shake. MUSIC OF TIME (4) has been in the wilderness for a while, but his latest run at Meydan came in a much tougher race. This is a significant drop in grade, and he's far better suited, making him a genuine winning chance. LEMURIAN (7) is in the groove and proved it again with a strong win over this track and trip last start. He's holding his form beautifully, and another bold showing is very much on the cards.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	At the latest run 4th of 16 at Jebel Ali on March 15 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Ashwaan carrying 137lbs at $3.40. The start before that eased back early on 9th of 15 at Meydan Dirt on February 6 over 7f, 11 len behind Nyaar carrying 127lbs at $5. Further improvement is anticipated. 1st Pick 3 Guarani Jockey: Chantal Sutherland Trainer: Bhupat Seemar J: Chantal Sutherland T: Bhupat Seemar	72	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 16 at Jebel Ali on March 15 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Ashwaan carrying 137lbs at $3.40. The start before that eased back early on 9th of 15 at Meydan Dirt on February 6 over 7f, 11 len behind Nyaar carrying 127lbs at $5. Further improvement is anticipated.
1	Last start 2nd of 13 at this track on March 14 over 6f, 0.1 len behind Mostabshir with 130lbs at $8. The start before that 6th of 16 at Meydan on March 6 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Vercors with 131lbs at $9. In the finish last time and should go well again. 2nd Pick 1 Arigatou Gozaimasu Jockey: Bernardo Pinheiro Trainer: S Bin Ghadayer J: Bernardo Pinheiro T: S Bin Ghadayer	134	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start 2nd of 13 at this track on March 14 over 6f, 0.1 len behind Mostabshir with 130lbs at $8. The start before that 6th of 16 at Meydan on March 6 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Vercors with 131lbs at $9. In the finish last time and should go well again.
4	Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start 10th of 16 at Meydan on March 6 over 7f, 3 len behind Vercors with 132lbs at $33. The start before that 12th of 15 at this track on February 21 over 1m, 6 len behind Monfrid with 133lbs at $18. Making headway. Likely to measure up again. 3rd Pick 4 Music Of Time Jockey: Tadhg O'shea Trainer: Bhupat Seemar J: Tadhg O'shea T: Bhupat Seemar	80	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start 10th of 16 at Meydan on March 6 over 7f, 3 len behind Vercors with 132lbs at $33. The start before that 12th of 15 at this track on February 21 over 1m, 6 len behind Monfrid with 133lbs at $18. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.