AU - Geraldton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

21.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ENTICING (6) sat handy here last start and was far too good, pulling away late to score by 2.2L under Faithfull. He rises in weight, but this looks to set up similarly from a good draw. Can prove his last start was no fluke and repeat the dose. DEEP DISCRETION (5) jumped favourite ahead of Enticing last start and was poised to strike in the run, though he was no match for him late. Gets a weight swing in his favour today and it wouldn't surprise to see him turn the tables. UNDERCOVER SNIPER (9) finished off nicely from a long way back over 5 ½f here last start and looks set for this. Fiore rides now, replacing the apprentice hoop and while the draw is sticky, she looks a leading chance with improvement on the cards. SALVADO (14) couldn't repeat the dose behind a smart one last start that runs in the Abrolhos. Can go one better despite the wide alley. GOLD VANCOUVER (2) draws better now second-up and can feature in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at this track Rtg 58+ April 9 over 6f defeating Deep Discretion carrying 119lbs at $8.50. Before that 5th of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on March 13 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Luckee Floran carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Dominant win last start and he can repeat the dose. 1st Pick 6 Enticing Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Peter J Daly J: Natasha Faithfull T: Peter J Daly	135	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at this track Rtg 58+ April 9 over 6f defeating Deep Discretion carrying 119lbs at $8.50. Before that 5th of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on March 13 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Luckee Floran carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Dominant win last start and he can repeat the dose.
5	Recent form sound. Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 58+ on April 9 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Enticing carrying 123lbs at $2.80. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on March 13 over 5 ½f, 1.1 len behind Luckee Floran with 123lbs at $3.60. Finished behind Enticing last start but jumped favourite there and can turn the tables. 2nd Pick 5 Deep Discretion Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Gordon Spowart J: Troy Turner T: Gordon Spowart	156	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 58+ on April 9 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Enticing carrying 123lbs at $2.80. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on March 13 over 5 ½f, 1.1 len behind Luckee Floran with 123lbs at $3.60. Finished behind Enticing last start but jumped favourite there and can turn the tables.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on March 13 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Luckee Floran with 117lbs at $11. Second-up 4th of 10 at this track Cl2 on April 9 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Southland carrying 127lbs at $5. Racing well. Hits this third-up now and looks ready to fire. 3rd Pick 9 Undercover Sniper Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Graeme Hammarquist J: Lucy Fiore T: Graeme Hammarquist	108	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on March 13 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Luckee Floran with 117lbs at $11. Second-up 4th of 10 at this track Cl2 on April 9 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Southland carrying 127lbs at $5. Racing well. Hits this third-up now and looks ready to fire.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.