AU - Belmont Park - Race 4

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

VIVALDA (14) was sharply better second-up, beaten 1.5L over 6f at Scarpside. Has more to give and just missed here only third-up outing. Has the inside gate and gives every indication that the 7f will suit. GOLDEN CHATTER (6) raced forward and held on beaten 1.4L over 6f at Pinjarra. Maps well and won't have to improve much to threaten. YANKEE ACE (4) found more like his best, missing by a half-length over this trip at Scarpside. Settled back, and there was a lot of merit in the effort. A winning chance holding that form. INVASORE (3) has another wide gate to contend with, but his efforts at Ascot three back and York after that would have him in the reckoning.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 8 at Ascot 3yo Hcp 62+ on February 21 over 5f, 6 len behind Watto's Mark carrying 119lbs at $21. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on March 12 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Shilling Lane carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Ready to win. 1st Pick 14 Vivalda Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Daniel Morton J: Lucy Fiore T: Daniel Morton	177	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 8 at Ascot 3yo Hcp 62+ on February 21 over 5f, 6 len behind Watto's Mark carrying 119lbs at $21. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on March 12 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Shilling Lane carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Ready to win.
6	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at this track Mdn on March 4 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Dancewithme carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Pinjarra 3yo Mdn on March 22 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Mamma Says So with 126lbs at $5. A key runner. 2nd Pick 6 Golden Chatter Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly Trainer: Meryl Hayley J: Laqdar Ramoly T: Meryl Hayley	100	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at this track Mdn on March 4 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Dancewithme carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Pinjarra 3yo Mdn on March 22 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Mamma Says So with 126lbs at $5. A key runner.
4	Last start 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on March 12 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Jesa Lupa carrying 128lbs at $14. The run before that 9th of 11 at Bunbury Mdn on February 26 over 7f, 7 len behind Sovereign Salute with 128lbs at $8. Close to a win. Among the best chances. 3rd Pick 4 Yankee Ace Jockey: Taj Dyson Trainer: Stefan Vahala J: Taj Dyson T: Stefan Vahala	118	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Last start 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on March 12 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Jesa Lupa carrying 128lbs at $14. The run before that 9th of 11 at Bunbury Mdn on February 26 over 7f, 7 len behind Sovereign Salute with 128lbs at $8. Close to a win. Among the best chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.