AU - Ascot - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

53.1K

VIEW

Verdict

EARTHSTORM (3) has been an eye catcher in both runs this time in, finishing 3.3L away in the Jungle Dawn last start. She'll find this much easier today and the step up in trip looks a good move. Likely to get back in the run but can finish with a flurry down the outside. REGAL STATUE (9) looks poised to strike third-up into the campaign, finishing 3.7L away over 6f last start after settling well out the back. We'll get a good line on that form through the Black Heart Bart and she draws better this time around. Can sit handier and land the knockout blow. MAGNA'S CHOICE (11) gets the blinkers on first time today back in trip and the booking of Pike is a positive lead. Form out of his past couple has been strong and he's expected to make his presence felt. DUG ANOTHER HOLE (5) was strong fresh and can be in the finish again. CLIMB ON TOP (4) is better than he's shown his past couple and can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up eased back early on 7th of 13 at this track in the LR Jungle Mist on November 15 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Drakaina with 121lbs at $26. Second-up 5th of 16 at this track in the LR Jungle Dawn on November 29 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Toropa carrying 121lbs at $17. Racing well. Building nicely this time in work and ticks a few boxes out in trip. 1st Pick 3 Earthstorm Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Russell Stewart J: Steven Parnham T: Russell Stewart	118	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up eased back early on 7th of 13 at this track in the LR Jungle Mist on November 15 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Drakaina with 121lbs at $26. Second-up 5th of 16 at this track in the LR Jungle Dawn on November 29 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Toropa carrying 121lbs at $17. Racing well. Building nicely this time in work and ticks a few boxes out in trip.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 13 at this track in the LR Jungle Mist on November 15 over 6f, 3 len behind Drakaina carrying 121lbs at $71. Last start 4th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Smooth Chino with 121lbs at $14. Good from the back last start and can make an impression third-up. 2nd Pick 9 Regal Statue Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	187	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 13 at this track in the LR Jungle Mist on November 15 over 6f, 3 len behind Drakaina carrying 121lbs at $71. Last start 4th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Smooth Chino with 121lbs at $14. Good from the back last start and can make an impression third-up.
11	Last start 3rd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 127lbs at $8. Before that 4th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 15 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Summer's Legacy carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Working up to a win. Blinkers and Pike go on now and sharp improvement is likely. 3rd Pick 11 Magna's Choice Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Trevor Andrews J: William Pike T: Trevor Andrews	137	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Last start 3rd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 127lbs at $8. Before that 4th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 15 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Summer's Legacy carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Working up to a win. Blinkers and Pike go on now and sharp improvement is likely.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.