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6:49 AM

NZH - Manawatu - Race 7

Harness
7 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SILENT THEORY (7) found the frame for the first time after six career runs last start, finishing second over 1 ¼m at this track. This looks a sterner test than last time but she is capable of winning. MAJOR MOONSHINE (3) is racing well with four top-five finishes in succession, the latest effort a third here over 1 ¼m. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. It doesn't get any easier but he is good enough to take this out. FEAR THE DIVA (5) didn't do a bad job when fifth over 1 ¼m at this circuit last time out. Can trouble the judge. LINCOLN DOWNS (4) is worth some thought after her last-start fourth over 1 ¼m at this course on December 9.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Silent Theory silk

Two back was fifth behind The Big Bang at this track over 1 ¼m in a 2yo+ on November 13 at $9.70. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2 m finishing second behind Pretty Boy at this track over 1 ¼m in a 2yo+ on December 9. Encouraging run last time and with further progress can claim her maiden victory.

1st Pick
7

Silent Theory

Jockey: Wilson House

Trainer: Michael House

J: Wilson House

T: Michael House

77---48%11/10

Analysis

Two back was fifth behind The Big Bang at this track over 1 ¼m in a 2yo+ on November 13 at $9.70. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2 m finishing second behind Pretty Boy at this track over 1 ¼m in a 2yo+ on December 9. Encouraging run last time and with further progress can claim her maiden victory.

3
Major Moonshine silk

Solid run when beaten by 1.1 m finishing second behind Still B Miki at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo+ on November 28 at $5.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third behind Pretty Boy at this track over 1 ¼m in a 2yo+ on December 9. Among the leading chances again.

2nd Pick
3

Major Moonshine

Jockey: Emily Johnson

Trainer: A W Shutkowski

J: Emily Johnson

T: A W Shutkowski

76---43%11/8

Analysis

Solid run when beaten by 1.1 m finishing second behind Still B Miki at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo+ on November 28 at $5.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third behind Pretty Boy at this track over 1 ¼m in a 2yo+ on December 9. Among the leading chances again.

5
Fear The Diva silk

Last start 5th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten 14 m by Pretty Boy (2:26.80) in 2yo+ on December 9. At her previous start 6th (Fr5) over 1 ¼m at this track beaten 25 m by The Big Bang (2:31.90) in 2yo+ on November 13 at $1.40. From a decent draw is expected to do better this time.

3rd Pick
5

Fear The Diva

Jockey: Andre Poutama

Trainer: Stephen Doody

J: Andre Poutama

T: Stephen Doody

73---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten 14 m by Pretty Boy (2:26.80) in 2yo+ on December 9. At her previous start 6th (Fr5) over 1 ¼m at this track beaten 25 m by The Big Bang (2:31.90) in 2yo+ on November 13 at $1.40. From a decent draw is expected to do better this time.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.