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6:10 AM

AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CASINO SHAW (11) ticks plenty of boxes today and looks the one to beat at start seven. Sat on the good tempo from the wide gate when a gritty second over 6f at this track. Kept fresh and she gets a much better set-up today. YOU COUNT (10) struck trouble at the start and got further back than expected when a poor eighth over 5 ½f at Nowra. Only has to jump cleanly to figure prominently. SETTA ICON (1) resumes from a lengthy break. Outclassed when eighth over 5f at Kembla Grange on June 20, 2024. Fitted with the two slick trials and can overcome the sticky draw. EMPRESS IRENE (13) started hard in the market at her second career start when a plugging fifth over 5 ½f at Nowra. Can race a little closer from the inside gate and play a leading role.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Casino Shaw silk

Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2 len behind Zoucat carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that 6th of 9 at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Attraction with 126lbs at $31. Made headway last time. Finds her race at strat seven to get off the mark.

1st Pick
11

Casino Shaw

Jockey: Amy Mclucas

Trainer: Shaun Coady

J: Amy Mclucas

T: Shaun Coady

123---16%11/2

Analysis

Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2 len behind Zoucat carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that 6th of 9 at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Attraction with 126lbs at $31. Made headway last time. Finds her race at strat seven to get off the mark.

10
You Count silk

Last start ran last of 8 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Battle Warrior carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Sunrise Ridge with 128lbs at $2. Slow into stride last start and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
10

You Count

Jockey: Jack Martin

Trainer: Jamie Stewart

J: Jack Martin

T: Jamie Stewart

106---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start ran last of 8 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Battle Warrior carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Sunrise Ridge with 128lbs at $2. Slow into stride last start and can bounce back.

1
Setta Icon silk

Resuming off 17 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start 8th of 11 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 2024 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Island Dec with 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was second in a 4 ½f barrier trial on November 18 at Rosehill. Expected to feature.

3rd Pick
1

Setta Icon

Jockey: Ms Robyn Freeman

Trainer: Anthony Mountney

J: Ms Robyn Freeman

T: Anthony Mountney

62---12%8/1

Analysis

Resuming off 17 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start 8th of 11 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 2024 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Island Dec with 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was second in a 4 ½f barrier trial on November 18 at Rosehill. Expected to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.