AU - Esperance - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DADIRRA (7) followed on from a couple of wins here last month with a game effort for fourth as the favourite at this level 6 days ago. She drops back to a more suitable 6f, and despite copping a wide gate, she can bounce straight back into the winner's circle here. Follow your money. FALSE STATEMENT (3) showed strong improvement when finishing sixth 3 starts ago at Geraldton, then backed it up with a win over 6f here 4 weeks back, getting up by a neck after a powerful late finish. He loves it here and can repeat the dose. CELEBRITY PRINCE (1) hasn't been seen since finishing well back over 6 ½f at Kalgoorlie in the spring. Each way value. PADDY'S FLYIN' (4) ran a solid fourth last start over 5 ½f here, just over a length from the winner, and looks ready to figure in the top 4 again. EEVALINA (8) has not won for some time, and will have Alex Hearn in the saddle for the first time. This is her pet trip, and she is capable of figuring in the finish this time. Don't risk her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 12 at this track Rtg 70+ on December 27 over 7f, 4 len behind Wild Imagination with 119lbs at $3.10. The run before that favourite, won by 0.7 len at this track Rtg 58+ December 13 over 7f defeating Midnight Rush with 119lbs at $2.35. Rates highly and is worth including. 1st Pick 7 Dadirra Jockey: Ava Catarino Trainer: Carey Martin J: Ava Catarino T: Carey Martin	72	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 12 at this track Rtg 70+ on December 27 over 7f, 4 len behind Wild Imagination with 119lbs at $3.10. The run before that favourite, won by 0.7 len at this track Rtg 58+ December 13 over 7f defeating Midnight Rush with 119lbs at $2.35. Rates highly and is worth including.
3	At the latest run was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 70+ December 5 over 6f defeating Wild Imagination with 121lbs at $4.60. The run before that 6th of 14 at Geraldton Batavia on November 16 over 6f, 2 len behind Supersession with 121lbs at $151. Great chance to win again. 2nd Pick 3 False Statement Jockey: Madi Derrick Trainer: Felicity Forbes-Ives J: Madi Derrick T: Felicity Forbes-Ives	182	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 70+ December 5 over 6f defeating Wild Imagination with 121lbs at $4.60. The run before that 6th of 14 at Geraldton Batavia on November 16 over 6f, 2 len behind Supersession with 121lbs at $151. Great chance to win again.
1	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation second last of 12 at Kalgoorlie Coolgardie Spr September 7 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Secret Attire with 129lbs at $31. First up last campaign fifth of 8 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ June 14 over 5f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Desert Whisper carrying 126lbs at $15. Look for a bold run. 3rd Pick 1 Celebrity Prince Jockey: Jefferson Tsang Trainer: Helen Harding J: Jefferson Tsang T: Helen Harding	101	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation second last of 12 at Kalgoorlie Coolgardie Spr September 7 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Secret Attire with 129lbs at $31. First up last campaign fifth of 8 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ June 14 over 5f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Desert Whisper carrying 126lbs at $15. Look for a bold run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.