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8:02 AM

AU - Esperance - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
14.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HARLEQUIN PRANCER (4) found the company more to her liking when posting an overdue maiden win here in her first local start. This is not much harder, and she can take the next step immediately. ALABAMA ELEGANCE (2) resumed from a spell last start over 5 ½f at Narrogin, finishing sixth and not far off the winner. She's fitter now, and with 6lbs less to carry from a superior gate, she will be hard to hold out. DAINTY ROSE (3) broke through for her maiden win last start, scoring by almost a length over 6f at this track 4 weeks ago. She has plenty of upside and can repeat the dose. MISS WEENI (5) proved too strong in a maiden last start over 6f here 6 days ago, winning by a head. If this race has not come too soon for her, then she can figure in the top 3 again. Fuzzybox (10) has not been too far away in this campaign, and she could be worth a look today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Harlequin Prancer silk

Second run back. First-up after eight months favourite, won by 0.7 len at this track Mdn December 13 over 5 ½f defeating Golden Opera with 123lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Pinjarra Mdn on February 23 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Urquharts Bluff with 123lbs at $17. Fitter but tougher here and prepared to risk this time.

1st Pick
4

Harlequin Prancer

Jockey: Lisa Staples

Trainer: Campbell Mccallum

J: Lisa Staples

T: Campbell Mccallum

116---31%9/4

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after eight months favourite, won by 0.7 len at this track Mdn December 13 over 5 ½f defeating Golden Opera with 123lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Pinjarra Mdn on February 23 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Urquharts Bluff with 123lbs at $17. Fitter but tougher here and prepared to risk this time.

2
Alabama Elegance silk

Second run back. First-up after six months eased back early on 6th of 10 at Narrogin Rtg 46+ on December 20 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Bill Selects carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Northam 3yo Mdn on June 8 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Scenic George with 115lbs at $12. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

2nd Pick
2

Alabama Elegance

Jockey: Tiana Murray

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Tiana Murray

T: Ryan Hill

95---10%10/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months eased back early on 6th of 10 at Narrogin Rtg 46+ on December 20 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Bill Selects carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Northam 3yo Mdn on June 8 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Scenic George with 115lbs at $12. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

3
Dainty Rose silk

Second-up today. Last outing was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.8 len at this track Mdn December 5 over 6f defeating Golden Opera with 123lbs at $5.50. At only start last preparation ran last of 10 at Pinjarra Mdn on July 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 15 len behind Bundaberg with 123lbs at $9.50. Stick with her.

3rd Pick
3

Dainty Rose

Jockey: Alex Hearn

Trainer: Rod Brown

J: Alex Hearn

T: Rod Brown

126---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up today. Last outing was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.8 len at this track Mdn December 5 over 6f defeating Golden Opera with 123lbs at $5.50. At only start last preparation ran last of 10 at Pinjarra Mdn on July 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 15 len behind Bundaberg with 123lbs at $9.50. Stick with her.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.