AU - Esperance - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

Class 5

Turf

GOOD 4

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ROYAL ACCOLADE (2) made it two wins in a row with a strong effort last start over 5 ½f here, scoring by nearly 2 lengths. He has thrived since joining the Rod Brown stable, and the hat-trick beckons. DUBLIN RED (5) missed the placings two runs back and then was eighth over 5 ½f here three weeks ago. She needed her last run, and with less time between starts here, she can figure in the top 3 at some decent each-way value. TROPICAL SUN (8) has had support in the market lately but hasn't delivered, her latest being a modest seventh over 6f here 6 days ago. She is capable of much better, and gets her first good draw since joining the Helen Harding stable. A form reversal is on the cards. DIEGO DYNAMITE (9) was below par last start, finishing fifth over 6f here 6 days ago when working too hard to find the lead. He has never missed the placings in 2 runs over this trip at this track, and he can bounce back. OREGON HIKER (3) is worth keeping an eye on in the market.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track Cl5 December 13 over 5 ½f defeating The Lions' Gate with 127lbs at $1.95. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 3 len at this track Cl2 December 5 over 5 ½f defeating Buster's Girl carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Rates highly and should go well. 1st Pick 2 Royal Accolade Jockey: Alex Hearn Trainer: Rod Brown J: Alex Hearn T: Rod Brown	128	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track Cl5 December 13 over 5 ½f defeating The Lions' Gate with 127lbs at $1.95. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 3 len at this track Cl2 December 5 over 5 ½f defeating Buster's Girl carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Rates highly and should go well.
5	Last start 8th of 12 at this track Cl5 on December 13 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Royal Accolade carrying 128lbs at $61. The race before that ran last of 10 at Albany Rtg 58+ on November 2 over 7 ½f, 10 len behind Our Nemesis with 122lbs at $8. Key runner who should run well. 2nd Pick 5 Dublin Red Jockey: Rosie Mahony Trainer: Paul Tapper J: Rosie Mahony T: Paul Tapper	78	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Last start 8th of 12 at this track Cl5 on December 13 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Royal Accolade carrying 128lbs at $61. The race before that ran last of 10 at Albany Rtg 58+ on November 2 over 7 ½f, 10 len behind Our Nemesis with 122lbs at $8. Key runner who should run well.
8	Most recently 7th of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on December 27 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Dothraki carrying 121lbs at $9. The start before that 6th of 12 at this track Cl5 on December 13 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Royal Accolade carrying 122lbs at $7.50. Can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 8 Tropical Sun Jockey: Jefferson Tsang Trainer: Helen Harding J: Jefferson Tsang T: Helen Harding	133	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently 7th of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on December 27 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Dothraki carrying 121lbs at $9. The start before that 6th of 12 at this track Cl5 on December 13 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Royal Accolade carrying 122lbs at $7.50. Can improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.